Reasons why China is going to lead this century, not America. They understand how economies actually work. We do not.
::::::::
OK, maybe that's a bit strong, but von Mises, and
the whole Austrian school are discredited.
Fortunately for them and for the Western world - which is essentially broke - China is NOT
following the Austrian school at all, and they are so far ahead of the
Chicago Quants and Austrian (supposedly) free-marketers that those two
groups literally can't comprehend how China manages its economy.
To
begin with, China IS managing its economy, something Bernanke and
company are not - they are constantly playing catch-up, reacting instead
of being proactive like China.
China has boosted its reserve
requirements since the beginning of the year, to, now, about 16%, vs. 8%
here (and really, when you strip away the smoke and mirrors, zero).
Furthermore, they are requiring at LEAST 20% down on all home purchases,
and as much as 50%(!) in hot cities like Beijing (where government
employees get stipends and create a local housing bubble, it is true).
This is not a perfect solution - simply collecting Ground Rent from
landlords and speculators would be better and more direct, but it gets
to the same place indirectly - cooling off a housing bubble before it
can form.
The free marketers won't even admit that a managed economy
is doable, hence their refusal to see a working model in action. They
would rather have periodic booms and busts, than admit their economic
model is fundamentally flawed, and fatally too.
China is miles ahead
of the U.S. in economic management. It is an economy run by serious
economists who learn from their mistakes - and ours - and who are not
beholden to political partisanship and game-playing for the sake of the election cycle, from a public who is generally too stupid and selfish to
understand how the real economy works.
Yes, there are serious human
rights issues, but it is neither as bad there, nor as good here, as the
Right and Tea Partiers would like us to believe. Besides, that's got
little to do with macro-economic management.
Don't be fooled by wild
swings of the Chinese stock market. That, unfortunately, remains a
gambler's playground, both in China and from investors abroad who sell
EVERYTHING at once, regardless of the fundamentals (witness the global sell-off yesterday based on fears of a Sovereign Debt Crisis - something China is NOT susceptible to). The Chinese economy
is sound and will be the largest economy in 10 years (not 20 as is
widely predicted), unless the West makes serious reforms in nearly every
aspect of the economy. This does not mean giving up capitalism. It does
mean giving up rigged, favoritism-based capitalism which reward monster
failures and punishes small succeeders.
We also need:
1. serious tax reform
to untax productivity and seriously tax natural resource use and abuse
(e.g. the Gulf BP disaster, the West Virginia coal mine mess etc.).
2. State Banks to pry money away from Money Leveraging Institutions
(MLIs).
3. Monetary reform to return money production back to
the government where the constitution puts it (Article 1, section 8) and
not the MLIs. A "Public Option for Money," as Max Keiser put it when he interviewed me. To prevent inflation, this newly created money should be targeted to things we unquestionably need, like infrastructure. See the American Monetary Institute for more information.
4. Educational reform to teach children about the
real world, not the myths of one made up 2,000 years ago. Today's world requires leaders in science, math, reading comprehension, logical & rational thinking, not superstition and pandering.
5. Campaign finance reform to return the funding of candidates back to the People instead of We the Corporation or their proxies like Citizen's
United. (We also need to end the escalating corruption of our actual voting process so elections aren't stolen, or given away by high-handed Supreme Court judges, like in 2000).
6. Serious media that investigates news and doesn't
parrot back whatever the current administration says, and treats
citizens like the adults they ought to be.
A tall order? Yes,
absolutely. That's why I believe China, not America, will rule the
century, even with their own problems of Authoritarian Capitalism. After
all, the seat of human civilization was in Southeast Asia for most of
human history, the bulk of human population is still there, and the
leading innovations are now there too (including the lead in Green Energy - China now produces more wind power than we do). Why wouldn't things return to where they've
been historically? Or...do you think we are just gifted by God and Race?
Better rethink that one.
UPDATE
This just arrived in my email today from Tony Sagami, a Financial Analyst that writes Uncommon Wisdom, specializing in Southeast Asia investments. Read this and then decide for yourself where the world economy is going to be in 10 years:
The International Monetary Fund is an international
organization that oversees the global financial situation of its 186
member countries. The IMF was formed with the goal of stabilizing
international exchange rates and to provide financial assistance to
countries that experience serious financial and economic difficulties
with loans and other forms of financial aid.
Tracking those economic developments on a national, regional and global
basis requires an army of economists, so the IMF has a very good
handle on the global financial picture.
What the IMF sees in China
and India
impresses the heck out of it. The International Monetary Fund is now
forecasting that China and India will generate 40% of the world's
growth in the next two years.
Forty percent? Wow! Let me give you some perspective on how impressive
that is.
- Twenty years ago, China and India generated just 10% of the
world's economic growth.
- Ten years ago, it improved to 18%.
- China alone will generate more growth than the entire G7 (the
U.S., the U.K., Germany, France,
Japan, Canada,
and Italy).
- India will generate more growth than all the 27 countries in the
European Union.
China and India aren't the only countries in Asia that are prospering.
The IMF says that China, Indian, and the 10 ASEAN nations (Brunei,
Cambodia, Indonesia,
Laos, Malaysia, Myamar,
Philippines, Singapore,
Thailand,
and Vietnam) will generate half the world's growth.
"By the end of 2009, output in most of Asia returned to pre-crisis
levels even in those economies that were hit hardest by the crisis.
After the deepest recession in recent history globally, we know that
Asia is leading this global recovery," said Anoop Singh of the
International Monetary.
China and India, with growth rates of 10% and 8.8% respectively, are
the economic engines behind that roaring growth.
Authors Website: http://newthinking.blogspot.com/
Authors Bio:
Scott Baker is a Managing Editor & The Economics Editor at Opednews, and a former blogger for Huffington Post, Daily Kos, and Global Economic Intersection.
His anthology of updated Opednews articles "America is Not Broke" was published by Tayen Lane Publishing (March, 2015) and may be found here:
http://www.americaisnotbroke.net/
Scott is a former and current President of Common Ground-NY (http://commongroundnyc.org/), a Geoist/Georgist activist group. He has written dozens of articles for Common Ground's national publication, GroundSwell, and has advocated for the Georgist Land Value Tax to public and political audiences.
A complete list of his publications can be found here:
Click Here
He is also New York State Coordinator,Senior Advisor, Director and AI Chair for the Public Banking Institute
Click Here, which seeks to promote Public Banking. The PBI is chaired by another OEN blogger, Ellen Brown.
Scott has appeared on TV/Radio and in in-person Presentations to explain the principles of Georgism, Greenbacking, and State Banking. These may also be found on his personal blog:
http://newthinking.blogspot.com/
Scott has a dozen progressive petitions on Change.org which may be found here:
http://chn.ge/10nUAmJ
Scott was an I.T. Manager for a major New York university for over two decades where he earned a Certificate for Frontline Leadership.
He had a video game published in Compute! Magazine: Click Here
Scott is a graduate and adjunct faculty of the Henry George School of Social Science in New York City.
Scott is a modern-day Renaissance Man with interests in economics, science and all future-forward topics.
He has been called an "adept syncretist" by Kirkus Discoveries for his novel, NeitherWorld - a two-volume opus blending Native American myth, archaeological detail, government conspiracy, with a sci-fi flair http://amzn.to/10nUoDV
Scott grew up in New York City and Pennsylvania. He graduated with honors and a Bachelor's degree in Psychology from Pennsylvania State University and was a member of the Psychology honor society PSI CHI.
Today he is an avid bicyclist and ride co-leader in a prominent bike advocacy organization.
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