Share on Google Plus Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Share on LinkedIn Share on PInterest Share on Fark! Share on Reddit Share on StumbleUpon Tell A Friend

Printer Friendly Page Save As Favorite View Favorites (# of views)   1 comment
OpEdNews Op Eds

Sound mathematical models of political dynamics are long overdue

      (Page 1 of 1 pages)
Related Topic(s): ; ; ; ; , Add Tags Add to My Group(s)

View Ratings | Rate It

opednews.com

Author 3735
- Advertisement -
Sound mathematical models of political dynamics are long overdue.

**********************************************************************
Since the political world is not chaotic or random, it should be accessible to mathematical models and simulations.

The number of variables would almost certainly be less than, say, our simulations of the weather. Admittedly, we are far from being able to make reliable long term climatic predictions, but as our mathematical sophistication grows, so also does the accuracy of the predictions.

The stock market knows all about this. Futures traders lie awake at night dreaming of mathematical models (mostly charts) which reveal the underlying trends of gold and grain trading.

Arguably, the social behavior of genuinely stupid and evil people would be far easier to model than independently and free minded people

Said differently, in a political chess game it should be much easier to defeat a Bush/Republican (or dem "centrist"), than a free minded liberal or independent. The reasons for this are twofold.

The first is the self evident fact that G. Duhbya is the tip of an iceberg of genuinely stupid people. If the neocons, for example, were half as smart as they claim to be, then why is America going bankrupt, and why are we now mired in two quicksand Middle Eastern wars, and why does most the rest of the world now hate us? And on and on. We should never forget that when Bush sold America's soul to Wolfowitz, Perle, and company, our foreign policy became the tail wagged by the dog of the neocon lobby (for what country?).

Ergo, using Jesus' criteria of "Ye shall judge the by their fruits", the neocon lobby is demonstrably stupid, however much they may decorate their unAmerican agendas with obfuscating rhetoric.

Of course, to comment on the IQ of religious fanatics is like shooting fish in a barrel. Anyone who actually thinks the Earth (or is it the local group?) is going up in a cloud of Armageddon smoke any day now, necessarily has a primate-like cerebral cortex.

The second reason the pugs should be easy to defeat in a political chess contest is their highly predictable utter selfishness and greed (evil?); since the more predictable the variables, the more predictable the model.

Thus, a fairly reliable simulation of the herd behavior of stupid and evil people (i.e., Bush/Republicans & neocons) should be well within reach of a pc with lots of megs and a select few mathematical programs, e.g., Mathematica and/or Maple, plus some statistical SAS, or even Minitab. Obviously, this is a minute sample of the quantitative programs out there, but the point is that even these few would probably be adequate to assist in the construction of a testable model.

Ironically, the chief vices of the Bush/Republican Administration (i.e., greed and stupidity) are precisely their chief vulnerabilities, since a predictable foe is more easily mathematically modeled (and defeated!) than a creatively intelligent one.
************************************************************************
W. Christopher Epler (Bill)

more posts from Bill at . . .

The Liberation of Realism
- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -

 

- Advertisement -

View Ratings | Rate It

A liberal American, PhD mathematician, bipedal Earthling.

Share on Google Plus Submit to Twitter Add this Page to Facebook! Share on LinkedIn Pin It! Add this Page to Fark! Submit to Reddit Submit to Stumble Upon



Go To Commenting
/* The Petition Site */
The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of this website or its editors.

Follow Me on Twitter

Contact AuthorContact Author Contact EditorContact Editor Author PageView Authors' Articles
- Advertisement -

Most Popular Articles by this Author:     (View All Most Popular Articles by this Author)

An avalanche of documentation that 9/11 was an "inside job" tip of an iceberg of monstrous, historical evil.

The Daddy Bush Connection with JFK's Assassination? Please check out these links.

Sarah Palin or Ann Coulter?

We are a slob species with glorious potential for transcendence.

The 6,000 year old 'Have' and 'Have Not' War is now in our face

Obama's EPA appointment will supremely define his place in human history.