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A Palinesque Loser Revives the Gong Show
The great joke on Trump -- the braggart buffoon who scorns rivals as "losers" -- is the high certainty he will lose the Republican primary farce. Probably badly, without one primary win, a towering, monumental Trump bust. The other joke is, with the Donald mugging and slashing, why anyone is astonished how faux was the faux FOX "debate." We're talking low-brow game show, akin to Trump's beauty pageants, absent the superior vetting that TV entertainment demands (banishing by fiat any fat, loud, unattractive contestants). Are these puzzled pundits, dismayed by FOX flummery, missing exactly how the "straight-talking" Trump serves the RNC scenario of chicanery and showboating?
Reality check on the electoral elephant in the room: this "debate" kicks off the year-long puppet show, a garish, rerun that opens by headlining outlandish long-shots playing the Tea Party base. The GOP primary farce is half shiny, TV-survivor show (for entertainment) and half political diversion: hoodwink the base by giving them a boorish voice to imply their racist, anti-immigration, anti-government, anti-gay fodder counts. Problem is, the rightwing formula is getting old, bereft of real suspense. It's amazing how pundits find insights while Tea Party primitives egg on stock figures of melodrama: the crude outsider who depicts Washington as some other nation's capital, the minority who never raises his voice, the career non-politician (often ex-CEOs), plus the usual elected suspects (from righteous zealots to no-risk establishment boobs).
Public Office, A Bare Minimum
While no one knows which establishment right-winger will be nominated, trust me, one will be. Why? It's never been otherwise. The historical record is impeccable: no one without high government office is nominated, let alone elected. No exceptions, either party, for eons. That deletes all non-politicians, especially low-class, foul-mouthed billionaires bragging how rich they are (and that wealth alone confirms presidential greatness). But equally demoted are the unelected, amateur and/or politically unqualified: Dr. Carson and Carly Fiorina this time, but recall Herman Cain, Alan Keyes, Pat Buchanan, Steve Forbes and Ross Perot (the latter two proving riches don't wash). Once a century, triumphant generals like Grant and Eisenhower get the GOP nod, proving what extraordinary circumstances it takes for anyone to start a political career in the WH.
Likewise, Democrats (sans generals) look askance at the Al Sharptons or Jesse Jacksons, or periodic actor-activist options; Ralph Nader or Dr. Spock never dreamed of Democratic glory. A few "unaffiliated" celebrities right off win high office, but never the presidency. Even the singular Jesse Ventura (on the Reform Party ticket) was a city mayor before shocking American politics, a fiery independent taking Minnesota's governorship. Populist rhetoric, crude or otherwise, washes over primaries, but mainly to pacify alienated minorities. That's Bernie Sanders' great and singular promise, as not just an impeccable progressive on economic justice, but an independent who refuses corporate payola.
Trump: Same Spiel, Same Fail