Obsessed with the "Iran threat," which leads to its
warmongering in Syria, Saudi Arabia is acting like a bull in a china shop,
wreaking regional havoc in an already Arab fragile political environment and
creating what George Joffe' of Cambridge University's
Centre of International Studies, on last December 30, called the "second Arab
cold war," the first being the Saudi-led cold war with the Pan-Arab Egypt of Gamal
Abdul Nasser since the 1960s.
The kingdom stands now almost isolated politically. Its "going it alone" in the Syrian conflict has cornered Saudi Arabia into a self-inflicted foreign policy no-win deadlock, to be at odds with three super powers, including its strategic U.S. ally as well as Russia and China, in addition to regional heavy weights in Iran, Iraq, Egypt and Algeria, all who advocate a political settlement of the conflict.
Within the six-member Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf (GCC), the kingdom navigates no better.
It is at
Saudi Arabia's hostility to the MB and its support of their removal from power in Egypt have reflected negatively on the Saudi-Turkish relations as well and had repercussions in Syria, leading to a restructuring of the insurgent political and military competing leaders who claim the representation of the Syrian people: Qatari and Turkish-supported leading figures and organizations were replaced by Saudi loyalists and accordingly, for example, the "Free Syrian Army" has simply disappeared to be replaced by the Islamic Front.
In the last
GCC summit meeting in
Saudi bailing out of the post-Morsi interim government in
According to Wall Street Journal online on this January 5, the ensuing situation " is placing the White House in a growing diplomatic quandary as its regional allies fall into competing camps."
The fact that the
However, instead of maneuvering wisely to
backtrack to steer in harmony with the
In an op-ed published by The New York Times on last December 19, Saudi Ambassador to the UK, Prince Nawaf bin Abdulaziz al-Saud, said his country "will go it alone" against Syria and Iran, because it "will not stand idly by" while the US compromises Saudi Arabia's security and "risk[s] the region's stability."
However, "in spite of its great wealth, the kingdom is not able to confront significant threats in its strategic environment on its own, " former Iran Coordinator in Israel's National Security Council, Yoel Guzansky, wrote in Haaretz on last December 25, adding that as regards the Saudi "deterrence of and protection from Iran, " no other major power is currently interested in or capable of filling the role played by the United States."
As of late this summer, Saudi Arabia had given $400 million in arms and other equipment to Syrian Salafi Jihadists, the Wall Street Journal online reported on last December 29.
True, Saudi warmongering over Syria and Iran could abort the Geneva II conference on Syria, scheduled to convene on this January 22 in Montreux , Switzerland to wrap up a political settlement, but in the end of the day the Saudi kingdom is more likely to end up the only loser in the face of a regional and worldwide consensus on political settlement as the only possible exit out of the Syrian conflict.
that Iran should be in and Saudi Arabia out, but the Geneva II guest list
includes warmongering Saudi Arabia, but excludes Iran, which has been calling
from the start for a political solution. Such an arrangement warns of including
the only "spoiler-in-chief," in the words of the Assistant
Professor of International Studies at