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OpEdNews Op Eds    H2'ed 7/30/14

Obama's Presidency Hangs by a Thread in Ukraine

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Is Obama's U.S. Presidency Now Crashing and Burning, in Ukraine?

Kiev's Government He Installed in February Seems Now Collapsing

Eric Zuesse

A news report that includes an alleged leaked document from the head of the Ukrainian Security Service, V.O. Nalyvaichenko, to the President of Ukraine, P.A. Poroshenko, seems to indicate that the ethnic-cleansing operation by the Obama-coup-installed Ukrainian government is now collapsing, and that Obama's forces in Ukraine (that Government's soldiers) are fleeing for their lives. Headlining, "Catastrophic Desertions and Losses in the Ukrainian Army -- Official Ukrainian Reports, July 19, 2014," the alleged document includes this alleged report to Ukrainian President Petro A. Poroshenko:

"In the period from July 14th to 19th, 2014 we witnessed a catastrophic increase (of 3473 people, or 47%) in the number of deserters in the units of the Army and the National Guard -- in comparison with last week's numbers (1847 people, 25%)." Apart from that, during the stated period the number of missing in action had increased as well (1344 people, 47%, last week -- 344 people, 10%). This phenomenon is connected to increased activity of the enemy in the Donetsk and the Lugansk regions as well as to the increase in the numbers of casualties in the ranks of the above-mentioned structures. "This fact [negatively] influences the combat-worthiness of the personnel and makes continuation of the ATO [Anti-Terrorist Operation, their euphemism for the ethnic-cleansing operation] impossible. ... I estimate that 2/3 of the active combat military units currently participating in the ATO will simply cease to exist in as little as 4 to 5 days."

It includes also what alleges to be a report by Arsen Avakov, Minister of Interior, and co-mastermind (along with oligarch Ihor Kolomoysky) of the May 2nd burning-alive of regime opponents inside the Odessa Trade Unions Building, which was the event that commenced the civil war. It says that "for the period July 9-15," there were "Total Ukrainian Losses" of 1600 "Killed in Action," and 4723 "Wounded in Action," while there were "Total Militia Losses" (their enemies) of 48 killed in action, and 64 wounded in action.

This was alleged to be the report filed immediately prior to Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk's July 24th announcement of his resignation due to the collapse of negotiations over the crucial IMF loans, and over the terms of privatizing fracking industry..

If these things are true, then not only is there no money with which to pay troops, but troops are fleeing for their lives. Nalyvaichenko: "I am proposing that we perform a withdrawal maneuver."

However, Republicans are trying to throw Obama a hail-Mary pass to save the day for his Ukrainian coup-regime: U.S. Senate Bill 2277, with 26 sponsors, all of whom are Republicans, is now in the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and Paul Craig Roberts says that "If the bill passes, which it likely will, Washington becomes empowered to bypass NATO and to grant the status of 'allied nation' to Ukraine independently of NATO membership. By so doing, Washington can send troops to Ukraine and thereby commit NATO to a war with Russia" (which has been Obama's objective all along).

If Paul Roberts is correct that this all-Republican bill "likely will" pass the currently Democratic-majority Senate, then it will also easily pass the Republican-majority House and so win Obama's eager signature and become law. I doubt that there are enough Republican "Democrats" in the Senate to pass it, but perhaps I am wrong and Roberts is right.

My own sense of the situation is instead that Obama's Ukrainian ploy is simply going down in flames.

But, we shall see.

If things are going in Ukraine the way that I think they are, then there would be no excuse whatsoever for any congressional Democrat who avoids introducing or supporting a resolution to impeach Obama; and that, in turn (a Democratic impeachment of Obama) would be the only way to avoid having the Senate being taken over by the Republicans, and Obama ruling as President in his final two years with both houses of Congress being under Republican control.

That's what's important to avoid, because if Republicans control both houses, then the extremist conservative (though rhetorically liberal) Obama will finally be free to reign as the extremist conservative President that he has always hoped he would have the opportunity to be, and he would then end his Presidency in a blaze of conservative legislative glory. But if his intervention in Ukraine will soon be turning that country into two or three utterly failed states, as I expect, then that blatantly clear disaster might prevent him from having any power at all, and it could even end up actually enabling him to be impeached and the Democratic Party thus salvaged, instead of going down along with him in flames (as will be the case if Democrats fail to impeach him).

UPDATE (July 29th): I had written this article on July 26th but not published it until now, because I wasn't sufficiently confident of the document's authenticity. However, during the subsequent days, there has been the following new information coming in, which suggests to me that there are sufficient grounds for the document's authenticity, so as finally to publish it:

"URGENT: UPDATED -- Warning of Impending Terrorist Acts by the Kiev Junta, July 26, 2014" presents the type of narrative follow-up that is consistent with desperation on the part of Obama's forces, particularly on the part of Ihor Kolomoysky, whom Obama's regime made into the co-mastermind (along with Arsen Avakov) of the ethnic-cleansing campaign. (Kolomoysky has hired Joe Biden's son as a lawyer and made him a board member of one the oligarch's gas-operations that operates in the conflict-zone. Both Kolomoysky and Avakov were chosen for their positions by Victoria Nuland, Obama's agent, who basically took the advice of Yulia Tymoshenko, "the Gas Princess.") Here is the July 26th statement:

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Investigative historian Eric Zuesse is the author, most recently, of  They're Not Even Close: The Democratic vs. Republican Economic Records, 1910-2010,  and of  CHRIST'S VENTRILOQUISTS: The Event that (more...)
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