I have with me Sally Castleman of Election Defense Alliance and Emily Levy of Velvet Revolution, two veterans of the Election Integrity movement. Welcome to OpEdNews, Emily and Sally.
In November 2008, Proposition 8 was a hot issue in the State of California. The proposition actually stripped existing marriage equality rights. There were strong feelings on both sides; between supporters and opponents, over $80 million was raised. The proposition was passed and the state constitution was amended. Almost immediately after the election, questions were raised about the validity of the election results. Recently, a study on Proposition 8 was released. What does the study show?
Sally: The study shows that at ten polling places in Los Angeles County where the exit polls were performed (that covered 19 precincts) the official election results appear to have been corrupted. The study doesn't prove that the results were wrong. Neither can whether any incorrect vote counts were the result of error or fraud. But the results of the study indicate that an investigation is warranted.
What are the implications of the study for Proposition 8? For future elections?
Emily: Proposition 8 is not going to be overturned as a result of this study or even of an investigation but both can shed a lot of light on how our elections are run.
Sally: Once again, the implication is that we cannot know at the end of an election counted by electronic software-based equipment whether the results are true and correct. I say "once again" because many many studies and analyses have indicated such discrepancies in some controversial races. Even more striking is that that the disparities always come out in one direction.
The initial results, before adjusting to conform to the announced results (as the Edison-Mitofsky polls have done in recent years), the results of every poll have differed from the offical results in the same direction: the official results report more votes for the more conservative candidate or the more conservative initiative/proposition question. This is not random "error."
The bottom line implication is that our democracy itself is at great risk. If we cannot know our votes are being counted as cast, if our votes are counted by private companies with clear self-avowed political intentions, if we know the equipment counting our votes is easily corruptible, if we are aware that the candidates truly elected may not be the declared winners, how can we think we have much of a democracy left?
There's a general impression among the public that exit polls aren't particularly accurate, especially with controversial issues, because people are hesitant to give answers that might make them look like bigots. Why should this particular poll be believed?
You say the results of the poll don't match the official results. Why is it the poll , and not the official results, that should be believed?