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Arc of Justice Alliance    H1'ed 1/15/26
  

How the American Left Keeps Falling for Regime-Change Narratives

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Mike Rivage-Seul
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Prof John Mearsheimer: CLASSIC U.S. REGIME CHANGE in IRAN NEW MERCH ** Jackets & Sweatshirts, Thermo Mugs!! Daniel Davis Deep Dive Merch: Etsy store ...
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e again being told-- urgently and with familiar moral certainty-- that we must side with Benjamin Netanyahu's Israel and Donald Trump's America in condemning alleged mass killings by Iranian security forces. We are invited to clutch our pearls over reports that "thousands" may have died in Iran in the past week alone.

The irony would be breathtaking if it were not so grotesque.

For over two years, Israel, with full political and military backing from the United States, has devastated Gaza. Tens of thousands of Palestinians-- mostly women and children-- have been killed. Hospitals, schools, and water systems have been systematically destroyed. Starvation has been used as a weapon. Yet U.S. officials have largely remained silent, or even actively shielded Israel from accountability in international forums.

Now those same officials present themselves as guardians of human rights, suddenly appalled by civilian deaths.

What most forget however is that moral authority is not something that can be turned on and off at political convenience. By enabling mass slaughter in Gaza, Israel and the United States have forfeited any claim to be neutral or trustworthy narrators of human rights abuses elsewhere. When they point the finger at Iran, they do so with hands still soaked in blood.

What is most troubling, however, is that much of what passes for the American "left" appears ready-- once again-- to follow their lead.

Even progressive outlets that have long criticized U.S. imperialism are amplifying claims about Iran with little scrutiny, as if we have learned nothing from Iraq, Libya, or Syria. The familiar script is rolled out: heroic protesters, savage security forces, and a population yearning for Western-style liberation.

But we have seen this movie before. And we know how it ends.

Consider a striking example from just this week. On Democracy Now, Amy Goodman interviewed the acclaimed Iranian filmmaker, Jafar Panahi. During the interview, Panahi acknowledged something crucial: because of internet shutdowns and information blackouts, he said, "I do not have any trustworthy news from inside Iran. I don't know what is happening. I don't know where my colleagues are, where my family is. It is only the bits and pieces that you hear."

And yet moments later, he spoke confidently of thousands-- perhaps 2,000, perhaps even 20,000-- killed by Iranian security forces. The interviewer did not challenge the figures, ask for sourcing, or remind viewers that casualty estimates in politicized conflicts are often wildly inflated during the early stages of unrest.

This is not serious journalism. It is narrative reinforcement.

None of this is to deny that Iran represses dissent or that many Iranians have legitimate grievances. It is simply to insist that repression alone does not explain why certain countries suddenly dominate Western headlines, while others-- such as Israel-- are insulated from scrutiny even when their actions are far more destructive.

The difference is not morality. It is geopolitics.

Immediately after 9/11, General Wesley Clark publicly revealed that the Pentagon had drawn up plans for regime change in seven countries: Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Somalia, Libya, Sudan, and Iran. While the timeline shifted, the strategic objective did not. Iran has remained a top target of U.S. and Israeli policy for decades, regardless of which party occupies the White House.

Political scientists such as John Mearsheimer have described how these operations follow a consistent pattern:

  • First, economic sanctions that drive up prices, cripple daily life and undermine public confidence in the government.

  • Second, support for opposition movements, often including covert funding and even the arming of provocateurs to escalate unrest.

  • Third, aggressive information warfare, in which unverified or exaggerated claims are circulated locally and internationally to delegitimize the targeted regime.

  • Finally, threats of military intervention-- or actual intervention-- once instability has been sufficiently inflamed.

This is not speculation. It is documented policy history. Libya followed this script. Syria followed this script. Iraq followed this script with catastrophic results.

And now Iran appears to be entering another familiar phase.

Sanctions, in particular, deserve far more attention than they receive in Western reporting. They are not "smart" tools that surgically target political elites. They are blunt-force attacks on entire populations, restricting access to food, medicine, banking systems, and basic imports. They produce precisely the social desperation that then gets cited as proof of governmental illegitimacy.

In effect, we help create the crisis, then point to the crisis as justification for further intervention.

All of this would already warrant deep skepticism. But after Gaza, skepticism becomes a moral obligation.

If Western leaders truly cared about civilian lives, Gaza would not now be an open-air graveyard. If they were committed to international law, Israel would not enjoy absolute immunity for actions that would have triggered war crimes prosecutions had any other country committed them.

Selective outrage is not accidental. It is functional. It serves strategic objectives while preserving the illusion of moral consistency.

This is why claims about Iran must be treated with extreme caution-- not dismissed, but interrogated. Who benefits from these narratives? Who controls the flow of information? And why are casualty figures treated as settled facts when even regime change advocates admit they lack reliable data?

What is perhaps most disheartening is how easily progressive voices are drawn into amplifying the early stages of these campaigns. Figures who would never accept Pentagon talking points about Latin America or Vietnam sometimes seem willing to accept them when the target is Iran. Good intentions do not protect anyone from becoming useful to empire.

True solidarity with the Iranian people would begin by acknowledging that Western economic warfare is a major driver of their suffering. It would oppose both domestic repression and foreign destabilization. And it would reject the deadly fantasy that U.S.-backed regime change produces democracy rather than chaos.

Iraq and Libya are not success stories. They are warnings.

We are not obligated to choose between authoritarian governments and imperial intervention. That is a false choice imposed by those who benefit from perpetual war. The real alternative is to oppose repression wherever it occurs while refusing to serve as an echo chamber for propaganda that prepares the ground for yet another catastrophe.

If the American left wishes to remain worthy of the name, it must relearn a difficult lesson: power always shapes the stories it tells, and humanitarian language is often the preferred cover for imperialism.

Do not be taken in by sudden moral awakenings from those who have slept through genocide.

Do not accept casualty figures that emerge fully formed from information blackouts and intelligence pipelines that have lied to us before.

And do not imagine that aligning ourselves with Netanyahu and Trump-- of all people-- will somehow advance justice in Iran.

It will not.

Author's Note

This essay connects to themes explored in my recent ChatGPT-assisted political novella, Against All Odds: How Zohran Mamdani Became President and Changed America Forever, which uses storytelling to examine how media narratives, economic coercion, and permanent war distort democracy at home and abroad. Both the novella and the Arc of Justice Alliance / Project 2029 project argue that real security comes not from regime change or military dominance, but from building a "Republic of Care" grounded in democratic accountability and human dignity.

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Mike Rivage-Seul is a liberation theologian and former Roman Catholic priest. His undergraduate degree in philosophy was received from St. Columban's Major Seminary in Milton Massachusetts and awarded through D.C.'s Catholic University. He (more...)
 

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Mike Rivage-Seul

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The American "left" is so easily manipulated. It also lacks moral clarity and courage.

Submitted on Thursday, Jan 15, 2026 at 7:42:09 PM

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Michael Dewey

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"When shall it be said in any country of the world, my poor are happy; neither ignorance nor distress is to be found among them; my jails are empty of prisoners, my streets of beggars; the aged are not in want, the taxes are not oppressive...when these things can be said, then may that country boast of its constitution and government."~ Thomas Paine"
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The Minnesota Mayor screaming on ICE get the f**k out gives me hope. Clean ICE out. Then maybe we can focus against the war machine creating the domestic trash. Well, I'm hoping after we see the cause of reaping what US has sown, we will focus on our war like ways. Like the CIA or Mossad has stirred up Iran as it did SyriA, and who knows where else?. Will the left see how US causes revolutions to start war against Nations who don't toe US Corporate Empire lines. John Perkins Confessions of an EHM explains it better than me.

Submitted on Friday, Jan 16, 2026 at 7:44:12 PM

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Mike Rivage-Seul

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You're right, Michael. I couldn't help thinking of Perkins while listening to Mearsheimer's description of the 4-point regime change process.

Submitted on Friday, Jan 16, 2026 at 8:50:44 PM

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Michael Dewey

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"When shall it be said in any country of the world, my poor are happy; neither ignorance nor distress is to be found among them; my jails are empty of prisoners, my streets of beggars; the aged are not in want, the taxes are not oppressive...when these things can be said, then may that country boast of its constitution and government."~ Thomas Paine"
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Unbelievable. We must stop it. Until this recent war drum beat, I tell all, "2028 be fine after we organize the Great Lake's States back to Union roots."

Submitted on Saturday, Jan 17, 2026 at 3:45:25 AM

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