Duluth, Minnesota (OpEdNews) January 15, 2014: I've gazed into my crystal ball, and I have a predication to make now about the 2016 presidential election. (Rob, would you cue in the audiotape of drum roll and fanfare, please?)
If Hillary Rodham Clinton is the Democratic presidential candidate in 2016, her candidacy for president will drive conservatives crazy. As a result, they will launch an enormous negative campaign against her, based on their well-established misogynistic views (remember the Republicans' war on women?).
After eight years of having the first African American president in the history of the United States, the conservatives will not be thrilled at the prospect of having the first woman elected president of the United States in 2016.
Now, in his book The Obama Hate Machine: The Lies, Distortions, and Personal Attacks on the President -- and Who Is Behind Them (2012), Bill Press has detailed the enormous negative campaign that conservatives launched against President Barack Obama.
However, their campaign against President Obama did not prevent him from being re-elected in 2012, even though the economy was not working in his favor.
Hey, guys, the economy was not working in his favor, but you did not succeed in preventing his re-election in 2012. So why not? What do you think you did wrong, guys?
At the very least, Obama's re-election shows that the conservatives' enormous negative campaign against him was not effective in preventing his re-election.
Arguably, his re-election shows that the conservatives should downplay the tactic of launching an enormous negative campaign again in 2016.
But the conservatives are not smart enough to figure this out.
Besides, it would be an enormous boon to the conservatives' cause if they could elect the Republican candidate for president in 2016.
So if the Democratic presidential candidate in 2016 turns out to be a white man such as Joe Biden, the conservatives will try replaying the Swift Boat tactic that they used effectively against John Kerry in 2004.
But if the Democratic presidential candidate in 2016 is Hillary, then the conservatives will launch a negative campaign against her that will surpass their negative campaign against President Obama. Remember that she has served as a U.S. Senator from New York and as Secretary of State under President Obama. So she will be a formidable presidential candidate, if she runs.
The cultural conditioning of the consciousness of white conservatives today is deeply rooted both in white supremacy and in male supremacy (also known as misogyny).
Your guess is as good as mine as to whether or not Hillary will even run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016. I'm making no prediction about that.
But if she emerges as the Democratic presidential candidate in 2016, this will drive conservatives crazy.