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OpEdNews Op Eds    H3'ed 6/23/16

Geo-politics: A Murky Situation to Come

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Message Muhammad Irfan

Napoleon Bonaparte once said, "The plan of campaign can indefinitely be altered according to the circumstances, the genius of the commander, the quality of the troops and the topography of the theater of art." This is very important maxim in subject of geopolitical and strategic analysis mainly because of its focus on altering the plan according to the circumstances. Now-a-days, we see the said saying of the warrior military leader as very relevant in the international chess-game. The actors of international order are realistically employing the frequent strategies in order to amass the global strategic boons largely in their respective favours. In this way, they shut a venue if it is risky and less advantageous. They concentrate on another theater where the benefits are more likely to accrue. This situation has adversely brought the world once again back to the horizons of the WW1 (1914-1918) and WW2 (1939-1945) when allies and the widely-projected evil powers were found to lock into exploiting the expansionist policies. These policies led the powers towards direct confrontation, which later on turned into full-scale escalation. These three stages, expansion, confrontation and escalation, are again the major danger the world may likely to face in the near future.

The present intensity in the diplomatic exchanges in Kremlin and Pentagon is one elegant example. Accordingly, Pentagon has asked Russia to withdraw its forces and sophisticated equipment from Ukraine. It termed the deployment in Ukraine as Russian expansion and avowed to curb it. On the parallel hand, Russia stressed on cooperation and asked the West to bury the hatchet.

These differences are harbinger of the bad days to come.

Similarly, another venue of exploiting the geopolitical policies is the CPEC area of international chess. CPEC with no more ambiguity is to build up the next parallel pole of geopolitics in the international system in wake of the Chinese and Pakistani's keen interest to tie each other closer for land and maritime interests. According to the CPEC, the economic links between the two allies will be deepened. This mega project is believed to be game changer for Pakistan. It is also believed to be relevant for ensuring China's energy security and the reduction of its maritime isolation.

Parallely, India has started to engage with Iran to construct ChahBahar Port for minimizing the worth of Gwader port. The ultimate concern-generating issue hereby is the Indian involvement in this region with close proximity of USA that is endorsing the global community to grant the membership NSG to India. Under such scenarios, the two sides are engaged into subversive campaigns for the termination of the CPEC project. Thus, it is obvious that in one way or the other, USA is also involved in this region.

Under such scenario, very murky situation is likely to come. The cold war rivalry seems again alive, which may push the world further into miserable condition. Therefore, the policy makers in both Kremlin and pentagon or whatever should cease their realistic policies and come to chalk out a plan which may result in universal peace and prosperity rather than engaging in jingoism.

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Muhammad Irfan has authored many books. He is an internationally recognized scholar. He has presented his papers in national and international conferences. He is also a freelance journalist and contributes to both national and international (more...)

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