225 online
 
Most Popular Choices
Share on Facebook 71 Printer Friendly Page More Sharing
Exclusive to OpEd News:
OpEdNews Op Eds    H2'ed 12/23/16

Election Theft 2016 (Part 4 of 4)


Josh Mitteldorf
Follow Me on Twitter     Message Josh Mitteldorf
Become a Fan
  (53 fans)

This is Part 4 of 4 of a series on election theft

Links to...

Part 1 : History
Part 2 : Statistics
Part 3 : Four Stories

2016

The Democratic Primary

A year ago, before the first primary vote had been cast, the usual monied interests had lined up behind the usual establishment candidates. But two upstarts with anti-establishment messages were attracting genuine, grass-roots crowds with genuine, grass-roots enthusiasm. These were Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump. Sanders's appearances were more popular even than Trump's, and media polls showed he had a much larger following. And yet news coverage in the "liberal" press gave Trump about ten times as many column-inches as Sanders. Trump's flamboyance was a subject the press loved to harp on, albeit with coverage that was harshly critical in the press outlets of the Eastern establishment. The real injustice was to Sanders, whose popular successes were ignored where possible and marginalized in the few reported articles. This story was documented in detail by an article by Thomas Frank in Harper's last month, titled Swat Team: The media's extermination of Bernie Sanders, and real reform.

Sanders was dismissed with the meme that he was unelectable--his populist socialism was too far from the American mainstream. The best evidence at the time was exactly opposite: In polling projections, Sanders beat Trump handily, while Clinton was projected to be an even match.

Months later, Wikileaked emails revealed that the Democratic leaders knew that Sanders was the stronger candidate, knew that he threatened their policies and tradition. "Many of the most damaging emails suggest the [DNC] was actively trying to undermine Bernie Sanders's presidential campaign." [Washington Post] Un-elected "super-delegates" gave Clinton a 300-vote lead over Sanders before the first vote was cast. It was the Democratic National Committee, with the cooperation of America's press, that quashed Sanders's candidacy in favor of Clinton--but it took some help from the voting machines to complete the job.

Evidence from the exit polls suggest that the nomination was stolen from Sanders, and that were it not for electronic vote-shifting, Sanders would have been the Democratic nominee, and probably the President Elect today. There were exit polls in 27 states, and in 23 of these, Sanders did better in the exit polls than in the officially-reported count [data by TDMS Research]. 11 of the 12 statistically significant exit poll discrepancies favored Sanders, and the 12th was the interesting case of OK. In Oklahoma, Clinton did better in the polls than in the official results. Oklahoma votes on paper ballots, some counted by hand and some by machine. OK is unique among the 50 states in that the scanning machines are programmed for each election by state employees, rather than the private vendors who do the job on contract in all other states.

If we assume the Oklahoma election was honest, it suggests an interpretation that corroborates the hypothesis of creeping, built-in shift in the polling methodology, which I described above. If you have accepted the logic of this article thus far, then the polling companies have learned to weight conservative demographics more heavily in their quest to match the reported results. In this case, the disparity in Oklahoma's primary could mean that the polling weights have a built-in bias for Clinton over Sanders, which should be added to the reported disparities in all other states.

In June, Clinton won the nation's largest primary in California by 53-46%, but there were no media exit polls. My daughter and I helped to administer a small, citizens' exit poll in the Bay Area, which showed no consistent anomalies. California has one of the most verifiable election systems in the nation, with paper ballots counted on op-scan machines kept honest by spot checks and sample hand counts. The California primary, however was tainted in a way that did not involve computerized manipulation. The Democratic party in California has an open primary system, in which people who registered with "no party preference" can vote in the Democratic (but not the Republican) primary. NPP voters are a big constituency in CA, and they favored Sanders by 40 points. On the other side, registered Democrats favored Clinton by 30 points. So reported suppression of the NPP vote damaged Sanders's chances in a way that is difficult to quantify.

Overall, exit poll evidence indicates that Sanders actually beat Clinton in the primaries. This conclusion must be qualified because there was no tight control to validate the exit polls. The best we have was the parallel exit polls, held in the same places at the same times for the Republican primary. Republican exit polls agreed consistently with the reported vote.

The General Election

It is well known that Clinton won the popular vote. In the exit polls, Clinton handily won the electoral college as well.

Next Page  1  |  2

(Note: You can view every article as one long page if you sign up as an Advocate Member, or higher).

Must Read 4   Well Said 4   Valuable 2  
Rate It | View Ratings

Josh Mitteldorf Social Media Pages: Facebook page url on login Profile not filled in       Twitter page url on login Profile not filled in       Linkedin page url on login Profile not filled in       Instagram page url on login Profile not filled in


Josh Mitteldorf, de-platformed senior editor at OpEdNews, blogs on aging at http://JoshMitteldorf.ScienceBlog.com. Read how to stay young at http://AgingAdvice.org.
Educated to be an astrophysicist, he has branched out from there (more...)
 

Go To Commenting
The views expressed herein are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of this website or its editors.
Follow Me on Twitter     Writers Guidelines

 
Contact AuthorContact Author Contact EditorContact Editor Author PageView Authors' Articles
Support OpEdNews

OpEdNews depends upon can't survive without your help.

If you value this article and the work of OpEdNews, please either Donate or Purchase a premium membership.

STAY IN THE KNOW
If you've enjoyed this, sign up for our daily or weekly newsletter to get lots of great progressive content.
Daily Weekly     OpEd News Newsletter
Name
Email
   (Opens new browser window)
 

Most Popular Articles by this Author:     (View All Most Popular Articles by this Author)

Twitter Bans The Donald

Cold Fusion: Tangible Hope in an Age of Despair

Artificial Earthquakes

New Scientific Study: Smoking Gun Evidence of 9/11 Explosives in WTC Dust

PayPal cuts off Bradley Manning Legal Defense; Backs Off under Grass Roots Pressure

To View Comments or Join the Conversation:

Tell A Friend