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Peaks and Valleys: The McCain Bump Coming to a Close

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It's a strange truth of politics: it's unpredictable and predictable at the same time. To know what's really going on, you have to trust history and trends. History says North Carolina goes McCain. Trends say Virginia is very much up for grabs. History says the conventions always throw polls for a loop, and everything settles back out. The trend, in the latest tracking polls, proves this out.

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