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After years, uncertainty still colors talk of Iran's nuclear capability

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The first date-specific prediction of when Iran would have a nuclear weapon was made in 1998, by then head of military intelligence, Moshe "Bogie" Yaalon, who warned that Iran could have the bomb by 2008. In 2009, Israel estimated that Iran would have a weapon by 2014. In 2010, Israeli officials shortened their estimates to 2012. "It's a game, the Iranian nuclear threat. And there is no certainty for the first, second or third move to take. No one can tell you what moves anyone is going to make or is making," said Asculai, the Israeli nuclear weapons expert.. "Everyone is still staring at the board."

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