Power of Story
Send a Tweet        
- Advertisement -
Exclusive to OpEdNews:
OpEdNews Op Eds

My Super Tuesday Prediction for the Democrats

By   Follow Me on Twitter     Message Steven Leser     Permalink
      (Page 1 of 1 pages)
Related Topic(s): ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; (more...) ; ; ; ; ; ; ; , Add Tags  (less...) Add to My Group(s)

View Ratings | Rate It

opednews.com

Author 75
Become a Fan
  (9 fans)
- Advertisement -
First I analyzed every poll I could get my hands on, then I looked at the trends.  In some cases, I even got a final take from the Rasmussen Reports futures market. Below shows a prediction where Obama wins 13 states and Hillary wins 9. But I think Obama will win at least two of the states where I indicated the potential for an Obama upset is high, making it 15 states for Obama and 7 for Hillary.
Alabama            Clinton  by less than 5%  (Potential for Obama upset is high)
Alaska               Obama  by over 10%
Arizona              Obama  by over 10%
Arkansas           Clinton  by over 10%
California           Obama  by less than 5%
Colorado           Obama  by between 5% and 10%
Connecticut       Obama  by over 10%
Delaware           Obama  by between 5% and 10%
Georgia             Obama  by over 10%
Idaho                Obama  by over 10%
Illinois                Obama  by over 10%
Kansas              Obama  by over 10%
Massachusetts  Clinton  by less than 5%  (Potential for Obama upset is high)
Minnesota         Clinton  by less than 5%  (Potential for Obama upset is high)
Missouri           Obama  by less than 5%
New Jersey       Clinton  by between 5% and 10%
New Mexico      Clinton  by less than 5%  (Potential for Obama upset is high)
New York          Clinton  by over 10%
North Dakota     Obama  by over 10%
Oklahoma         Clinton  by over 10%
Tennessee        Clinton  by over 10%
Utah                 Obama  by over 10%
Many states still have a large number of undecided voters. They are the wildcard in all of this. If most of the undecideds in a given state break one way or the other, they can change the outcome in all but four of the Super Tuesday states. Typically, the undecideds break in one of a few ways. They either break in similar ways to the existing polling, or they break for the way that the race is trending, in the case of Super Tuesday, that would mean an even better night for Obama. But sometimes, undecideds break in a way that is completely unpredictable.
- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -

 

- Advertisement -

View Ratings | Rate It

http://www.ibtimes.com/blog/steven-leser_103/bio/
A political blogger for the International Business Times, Steve Leser is a hot national political pundit. He has appeared on MSNBC's Coundown with Keith Olbermann, Comedy Central's Daily Show with Jon Stewart and Russia Today's (RT) Crosstalk with (more...)
 

Share on Google Plus Submit to Twitter Add this Page to Facebook! Share on LinkedIn Pin It! Add this Page to Fark! Submit to Reddit Submit to Stumble Upon



Go To Commenting
The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of this website or its editors.

Follow Me on Twitter

Contact AuthorContact Author Contact EditorContact Editor Author PageView Authors' Articles
- Advertisement -

Most Popular Articles by this Author:     (View All Most Popular Articles by this Author)

McCain Campaign Violated McCain-Feingold law with Palin Clothing Purchases

McCain attacked 18 year old Chelsea Clinton in 1998 now says Palin's family & kids are off limits

McCain says "Horseshit" on National TV During Debate

North Korea – Impending Missile Launch May Require US Military Action

Palin: Drill Baby Drill, but blame Obama for the Spill!

Palin to McCain - Oops I did it Again