Power of Story
Send a Tweet        
- Advertisement -
General News

The Surprising Democratic Primary Results in New Hampshire

By       Message Pokey Anderson     Permalink
      (Page 1 of 1 pages)
Related Topic(s): ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; , Add Tags Add to My Group(s)

View Ratings | Rate It


- Advertisement -
compiled by Pokey Anderson
January 9, 2008
Justin Wolfers, a professor of business and public policy at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania:
- Advertisement -

"There was not a single pundit, poll or alternative prognosticator that got last night right.''

["Clinton's Win Enriches Bettors Facing 100-to-1 Odds," by Michael Tsang and Eric Martin, January 9, 2008, Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=aDwt8YHCf1kY&refer=home ]
- Advertisement -

ABC's polling director Gary Langer:

"It is simply unprecedented for so many polls to have been so wrong. We need to know why," he said.

["Pollsters flummoxed by New Hampshire primary," Wed Jan 9, 2008 3:46pm EST, by Joanne Kenen, Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSN0960368620080109 ]
- Advertisement -

Wall St. Journal:

"[I]t is no exaggeration to term the result truly historic. Not that there haven't been more dramatic upsets or come-from-behind wins that carried more significance -- this was just an early primary, albeit a pivotal one. But in terms of unpredictability, or at least the failure of everyone to predict it, it may have no modern match."

["Clinton's Historic Surprise; Political prediction markets, polls and pundits may never have got it so wrong," by Justin Wolfers, January 9, 2008, Wall Street Journal, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119985909065777677.html?mod=googlenews_wsj ]
New Hampshire Public Radio:

With about 40% of the NH precincts in, Clinton was leading Obama by about 39% to 37%. New Hampshire Public Radio commentator asks guest commentators about this.

Ray Buckley, state chair of the New Hampshire Democratic Party, interviewed on NH Public Radio about 9:42 pm EST:

"I don't think there is anybody here in the state of New Hampshire that predicted this. It is quite surprising.... people were projecting upwards of a 15% victory [for Obama]. Certainly, it's made for a much more interesting evening that anyone thought last night."
Wayne Lesperance, associate professor of political science at New England College, interviewed at about 9:48 pm EST:

"It's remarkable. I don't know that anybody predicted this. ... At Clinton events, the crowds haven't been as large as Obama. I don't have an explanation, really, except that a lot of folks are surprised. Women turned out larger in NH than Iowa. Young people -- a lot of people thought they would go for Obama in a much bigger way."

[Live broadcast, evening of January 8, 2008, New Hampshire Public Radio. NHPR comments are notes by Pokey Anderson, typed as heard, but may not be word for word.]


- Advertisement -

View Ratings | Rate It

Pokey Anderson has broadcast or published numerous reports on voting machine issues over the past four years. She co-produces a weekly news and analysis radio program, The Monitor on KPFT-Pacifica in Houston. A previous article was "Even a Remote (more...)

Share on Google Plus Submit to Twitter Add this Page to Facebook! Share on LinkedIn Pin It! Add this Page to Fark! Submit to Reddit Submit to Stumble Upon

Go To Commenting
/* The Petition Site */
The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of this website or its editors.

Writers Guidelines

Contact AuthorContact Author Contact EditorContact Editor Author PageView Authors' Articles
- Advertisement -

Most Popular Articles by this Author:     (View All Most Popular Articles by this Author)

Check out all these unexpected deaths of people involved with elections

The Red Cross -- A Humanitarian Agency, or Is It A Major Disaster?

Who was Mike Connell?

On the Ground in Haiti -- Some Charities Report their Efforts

Former NM SoS Indicted on Misuse of Over Million Dollars in HAVA Funds

Peering Through Chinks in the Armor of High-Tech Elections