Send a Tweet
Most Popular Choices
Share on Facebook 26 Share on Twitter 1 Printer Friendly Page More Sharing
Exclusive to OpEd News:
OpEdNews Op Eds    H1'ed 10/26/20

What If Everything Broke for Biden?

By       (Page 1 of 1 pages)   4 comments
Follow Me on Twitter     Message William P. Homans
Become a Fan
  (18 fans)
Trump v. Biden 2020
Trump v. Biden 2020
(Image by 60 Minutes)
  Details   DMCA

Click Here

Today's Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin polls show Pennsylvania closest with 53-44 Biden. On these pages I have predicted the Biden win will be somewhere between definitively and a landslide.

I have not seen any newscasters comment about what the electoral map would look like if Biden took every state that has come to be in play, including Texas. But some quick calculations show that the win would look like this:

Trump wins 18 states, almost all western or southern, for a total of 111 electoral votes. The NPR poll

Click Here

says Biden will likely win 17 states plus D.C., including the solid west and northeast coasts, for a total of 213 electoral votes.

That leaves the states which have been said to be in play, and they number 13: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona, Iowa, Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio, Missouri and Minnesota, with electoral votes totaling 205.

Maine and Nebraska use forms of apportionment to determine the winners of their 9 total electoral votes.

Hence, 529 electoral votes are available on a winner-take-all basis-- 48 states plus the District. Presuming both candidates held their very-likely states, if Joe Biden were to win all the states I listed, he would get 418 electoral votes to Trump's 111, which would certainly qualify as a political landslide, and would certainly drive away any of Trump's army of lawyers who were/are in place to contest the election.

The election has devolved to a referendum on Trump's handling, or mishandling, of the novel coronavirus. Under normal, pre-Covid-19 political circumstances, Trump would be much stronger, hammering on "It's the economy, stupid!"

But for a supermajority of Americans, the argument that goes, "if Trump won't even take care of himself, how in the world can he be trusted to lead and take care of the People?" resonates, whether or not they think about it in those specific terms.

I predicted in the beginning of the midterm year 2018 that the GOP was going to run out of time to run away from Trump's record. Now most of them have hitched their wagon to Trump's ignorant and erratic behavior for almost four years, so that it is THEIR record.

I thought it would happen in 2018, but only the House caught the Blue Wave. Now, in 2020, that wave is likely to flip the Senate.

Only the GOP's Senators' disgraceful ramming through the Amy Coney Barrett nomination darkens the day. Perhaps, we may hope, Barrett will preserve the dignity of the USSC by recusing herself from any decisions about the legitimacy of the 2020 election.
Well Said 2   Must Read 1   Valuable 1  
Rate It | View Ratings

William P. Homans Social Media Pages: Facebook Page       Twitter page url on login Profile not filled in       Linkedin page url on login Profile not filled in       Instagram page url on login Profile not filled in

My name is William Perkins Homans the third, but probably more people know me as the bluesman (and artist) Watermelon Slim.

I've been in the fight against war, fascism, injustice and inhumanity for 47 years. I was at MayDay, 1971, (more...)

Go To Commenting
The views expressed herein are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of this website or its editors.
Writers Guidelines

Contact AuthorContact Author Contact EditorContact Editor Author PageView Authors' Articles
Support OpEdNews

OpEdNews depends upon can't survive without your help.

If you value this article and the work of OpEdNews, please either Donate or Purchase a premium membership.

If you've enjoyed this, sign up for our daily or weekly newsletter to get lots of great progressive content.
Daily Weekly     OpEd News Newsletter
   (Opens new browser window)

Most Popular Articles by this Author:     (View All Most Popular Articles by this Author)

The Oregon Standoff: Mr. Bundy Shows His True Colors (All Shades of White)

Electro-Magnetic Pulse (EMP) Technology-- A Threat To The US Or Not?

Ship's Sinking, Rats Are Looking For Escape Ropes

Tragedy Awaited Me After My International Tour

End Game for the Presidential Super-Spreader

President Obama Feeds the Homeless on Thanksgiving Day: Why Don't We All Love Him?

To View Comments or Join the Conversation:

Tell A Friend