Watermelon Slim In Clarksdale, MS-- the Rock and Blues Museum
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I have restrained myself from further comment on the primary process for about two months until these last two days. But here's what I wrote Monday night:
I for one do not think Bernie has lost yet.
I am convinced of the utter sham of the American politicojournalistic process, of course. I am something like an ambassador, constantly encountering and engaging visitors from many nations here in my little blues-tourist enclave in Mississippi, and crudely, the reaction to this year's primary campaign is that America is a feared laughingstock.
But I am a revolutionary, and I do not think the Convention is absolutely beholden to nominate Hillary, who no matter what an ass Trump makes of himself is going to win by only a fairly close margin.
Business-as-usual doesn't require large margins, just majority support. Just like a proxy vote for a corporation's board members.
A. Is squeaky-clean and scandal-free.
B. Whatever one can say about his personal political self-identification, is a 26-year member of Congress in both Houses. He is a professional politician. Thus,
C. Would positively eviscerate Trump in debates. And,
D. Is favored in every poll by 10-15% over Donald Trump in a general election.
That last one-- the electability math-- has to be giving the insiders who are trying like heck to rig the Convention in favor of Mrs. (War-)Business-As-Usual fits.
They have to be considering the scenario that if Bernie Sanders was to win in a Democratic landslide, he could be talked into something like Democratic-style moderation.
Or even that the Republican Party is really going to implode anyway, and the Democratic Party is going to claim both Houses in the heady popular joy of repudiating The Donald, who has turned the American political process into an uber-trashy reality show.
They have to be considering the possibility-- still very possible-- that Hillary, Trump, or both, will be indicted before the Democratic Convention. Prosecutors may or may not be able to be bought off or scared off.
Here's how it works, I think. Obviously, if Trump is indicted but Hillary is not, at least for the duration of the election campaign, then Hillary will win in a semi-landslide. Bernie would be out in such a scenario.
But if HILLARY is indicted before the Democratic Convention, Bernie undoubtedly claims the nomination. If the prosecutors really have balls and indict a NOMINATED candidate for President of the United States (I am unaware of such a president, er, I mean precedent), then the Democratic Party will have to very quickly initiate some sort of procedurally permitted process to replace her as nominee with Sen. Sanders.