In 2011, Donald Trump tweeted the following:
In order to get elected, @BarackObama will start a war with Iran.
Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 29, 2011
Nearly a year later, he followed with:
Now that Obama's poll numbers are in tailspin watch for him to launch a strike in Libya or Iran. He is desperate.
Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 9, 2012
Two weeks later, Trump tweeted:
Don't let Obama play the Iran card in order to start a war in order to get electedbe careful Republicans!
Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 22, 2012
This indicates a lot about how Donald Trump thinks the way presidents win re-election.
Although Trump's prognostication about Barack Obama starting a war with Iran was incorrect, Trump is planning on doing what he accused Obama of intending now that he is the first impeached president to run for re-election and the tide of public opinion is turning against him.
Trump has been provoking Iran since he first stepped foot in the Oval Office.
But the violence ensuing at the U.S. embassy in Baghdad, Iraq over American airstrikes against Iranian-backed militia Kata'ib Hezbollah (KH), and the Trump administration's reaction to it, could be the match for which Trump has been searching.
In order the understand what is going on here, we must separate it from the predictable "us versus them," "Iran versus the West" perspective.
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