Reprinted from Wallwritings
Most U.S. media attention is focused this summer on Donald Trump and the latest outbreak of domestic violence in movie theaters. But look carefully at the internet and you will find Roland Nikles reporting for Mondoweiss on a story of far-ranging significance.
He finds Peter Beinart in Ha'aretz explaining the pending congressional vote on the Obama-Kerry negotiated Iranian nuclear deal:
"Israel and the United States (and the other members of the P5+1) have conflicting interests at stake when it comes to the Iran deal. Meanwhile, many in Congress are behaving like they represent Benjamin Netanyahu instead of the American people.
"The P5+1 have negotiated with Iran in order to take an Iranian nuclear bomb off the table indefinitely, and to prevent a nuclear arms race in the region.
"Israel and the Saudis have a different interest. For Israel and the Saudis, the primary goal has been to keep sanctions in place indefinitely in order to cripple Iran as a regional competitor."
In an analysis for Forward, Nathan Guttman, writes: "Thirteen U.S. Senators is all President Obama needs to ensure that the nuclear deal with Iran does not get derailed by Congress."
Do the math:
There are currently 54 Republican senators, all of whom are on record to oppose the deal. The Republicans will need only 13 Democrats to cross party lines and vote against the deal to reach the 67 votes required for an override.
To prevent that veto override, President Obama needs 34 Democratic senators to support him; otherwise the deal collapses.
Among the 34 senators Obama needs to sustain the deal, the Republican majority needs to pick off a total of 13 senators to vote against the diplomatic option. If they succeed and successfully add 13 more Democrats to their side, the deal is dead.
Nathan Guttman gives the details:
"With Republicans controlling both the House and the Senate, Congress is likely to reject the Iran deal. Not one Republican has expressed support for the deal. But that is only the first round. Obama has already made clear his intention to veto any legislation rejecting the Iran deal.
"If that happens, Republican leaders will have to come up with a two-thirds majority in both chambers to override Obama's veto. Most analysts focus on the Senate, where Republicans are expected to have a tougher time getting this super-majority.
"There are currently 54 GOP senators, so Republicans will need 13 Democrats to cross party lines and vote against the deal to reach the 67 votes required for an override.
"Political analysts have identified between 14 and 28 Democratic senators in the undecided column.