I have predicted in previous articles that the first important foreign policy initiative of the Trump administration would be to find a pretext to tear up the Iran Nuclear Deal and start up a shooting war. Today (Feb 2), Trump has said that the ballistic missiles tests by Iran are "hostile actions" and that military action is "not off the table." This is even less pretext for war than the Bush lies about WMD's and ties to terrorism.
Secretary Kerry Speaks With Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov in Geneva
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Kerry and Lavrov sign the Iranian Nuclear Deal.
Russia, which is Iran's miitary ally said of the US threats of military action: "
""Such actions, if they took place, do not breach the resolution," Sergei Ryabkov, the Russian deputy foreign minister, told Interfax news agency, saying demands for UN talks were aimed at "heating up the situation."
If the US attacks Iran, Russia, China, Iraq, and Syria will be obliged to defend Iran. So much for the peace overtures and the end of the neo-con war mongering.
Of course, since Iran, according to the CIA and Mossad, had no nukes and no nuclear weapons program, the name of the deal is a propaganda ploy, but I think that worked to the advantage of Iran, since even tho intelligence of its two most paranoid enemies, the US and Israel, knew they had no nuclear program, the illusion of such a threat, fed by right wing politicians in both nations, was used by Iran to cut a deal to get its seized assets back and to resume normal trading operations on a global scale. They gave up a threat they did not have: that was the price of the right wing lies about Iran being a nuclear threat
The Deal: Iran gives up its non-existent nuclear program and gets its frozen financial assets back.
But now we have a new President who has made several comments to reveal his intent towards Iran, including the threat of bombing Iran. This comes through his advisor John Bolton, who has written op-eds urging the US to bomb Iran. When asked a few months back, during the campaign, when the US should bomb Iran, he said "Yesterday."
Bolton has been the lead on the neo con Bomb Iran campaign.
Of Bolton, whom Trump considered as Secy of State but backed off because of GOP opposition, Trump said: "He's a good man...he has good ideas."
Here is what Trump said about the Iran Nuclear Deal in Sept of 2015: " Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said Friday that he'd try to work with what he called a "disastrous" nuclear deal with Iran to turn it around and that there will be "hell to pay" if Iran violates the terms."
.I was walking among the fires of Hell, delighted with the enjoyments of Genius; which to Angels look like torment and insanity. - William Blake
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With many Republicans urging immediately tearing up the Deal, and Bolton providing the extreme view that urges immediate bombing, Trump has made it clear that he is looking for a pretext to shred the Deal and challenge Iran militarily. This is extremely dangerous because it throws all his other foreign policy initiatives, including peace and co-operation with Russia and detente with the Assad regime, into a crisis.