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OpEdNews Op Eds    H2'ed 5/2/21

"The Prelude to Putin's Power Play"

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On April 22nd, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shogun declared the maneuvers in Krim and western Russia a success. All troops would be returned to their permanent bases by May 1st.

However, he also included that they should leave their heavy weapons behind in western Russia for another exercise later this year; ready to respond to any "adverse developments" during NATO's Defender Europe 2021 exercise. And therein lies the rub....it's not over. This was only a Prelude to Putin's Play for Ukraina.

The Staging:

Aside from practicing for the future, these exercises showed the Western Powers that Russia is indeed capable of addressing its military operations spot on with little effort and with overwhelming force. But what else was the true purpose.

It was multi-fold: To show the strength, readiness, and will to act for Russia's interest... anywhere and everywhere that Russian citizens live.

Let's remember, this Prelude had started years ago by accelerating Russian citizenship for all Donbas residents, replacing the normal 8-year waiting period with 3 months. Presently, the overwhelming majority of Donbas residents are now Russian citizens with Russian passports, just like Krim. They are the most vital characters to THE PLAY.

So, what else did this show of force do --- it revealed the extent to which the West would possibly respond to such actions: To the effect of a few warships sent to the Black Sea weeks after and a wide "concern" over the troop movements.

And Russia found out that they could actually prevent the US from sending a destroyer to the Black Sea just by telling them not to come --- flyovers, the same. Thank you for the info...

Oh, and the West's welcomed relief when the pullout was announced: It was just a bluff, nothing too serious, let's hope the bear hibernates again. It's just war games... (How do armies prepare for real wars?) Count the many similar takeovers by Russia throughout the world. Wagner's opera plays everywhere. Libya is already falling into the trend as will others.

But getting back to Donbas, we will see the troops return. My guess is after the May celebrations. By which time Russia will probably succeed in causing a military flare-up to give reasons for Russian Troops to move in to save the Russian citizens.... And yes a bombing of festivities by Russian saboteurs is always a typical Russian option, blame the other side. But this time I think that Putin will introduce a new version. He will have to ad-lib the approach.

The Play:

I think that probably around, or after, the May celebration the citizens of Donbas will issue a (pseudo) "legal" proclamation that they will indeed annex their combined republics from Ukraina and henceforth allow Russian troops within their newly formed country.

The wording will be all important, although I'm not sure if it can be made reasonable enough for hesitative doubt on the West's next action. But any delay buys time and time buys consideration. I assume Russian troops will have by then returned to their April status along the borders for that reason.

Russia will then claim the "legal" aspect of the LPR/DPR Proclamation to allow Russia to openly move Russian soldiers into Donbas for its Russian citizens' protection... and the request would come from the LPR/DPR (republics).

Putin has already referred to Luhansk and Donetsk as "Republics". Next will come the official recognition by Russia.

Now, here comes the call card --- What will the West do? Will they counter by bringing Allied troops into Ukraina. Is that what the NATO exercises are for?

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Bohdan Yuri is an Ukrainian-American and the author of "Ukraina: Sons and Daughters" (short stories) and "The Letters".

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9 people are discussing this page, with 15 comments  Post Comment


Bohdan Yuri

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  New Content

Before there was Moscow (Russia) there was Kyiv (Ukraina). Moscow was always envious and afraid.

Submitted on Saturday, May 1, 2021 at 9:36:15 PM

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Anton Grambihler

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Am I missing something?

It was the USA and NATO that destroyed Libya.

It was the USA that destroyed Iraq.


Submitted on Sunday, May 2, 2021 at 12:41:32 PM

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Bohdan Yuri

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Reply to Anton Grambihler:   New Content

I didn't include Iraq because the issue with Saddam was different from Russia's intentions. NATO, wants to give back control of unstable countries. Putin wants to devour them into his "empire".

Russia (Wagner) is in Eastern Libya right now and Syria is now controlled by Russian forces.....and Iraq is still trying to find itself while NATO (US) wants to leave.

Look where else in Africa Russia is setting up connections. Russia is a "conquering" nation -- it conquers by control of a country's governments.....first ,usually by destabilizing its governing abilities.

Russia is trying the same in Ukraina..... and Putin has time on his side as he regulates the pressures.

Submitted on Sunday, May 2, 2021 at 3:56:10 PM

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Jim Miles

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Reply to Bohdan Yuri:   New Content

"Russia is a "conquering" nation -- it conquers by control of a country's governments.....first, usually by destabilizing its governing abilities."

Well, they learned from the best - the USA.

Submitted on Sunday, May 2, 2021 at 7:45:25 PM

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Eddy Schmid

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Reply to Bohdan Yuri:   New Content

Seriously, Bohdan what in Hell are you smoking ?? Or drinking, maybe your living too close to Chernobyl because there's something seriously wrong with your brain. This is the most upside down, convoluted view I've ever seen on this issue. I understand, Russia and Putin may not be your you favorites, but that does not give you licence to write and publish crap like this. Are you by any chance a confidant of Nalvany ? Certainly sounds like it. IMHO. I also realise, Ukraine is DEAD, and the fault for that lies squarely at the feet of their own people and the U.S. of A. who is using them for their own nefarous purposes. Russia moved it's troops to the border because the IDIOT Ukranians swallow the American hype, and think they can take on the Russians. It'd be bloody funny, if not so sad, as any such event would cost the Ukrainians a terrible loss of life, whilst all the time their mentors, the U.S. of A. sits comfortably at home laughing their arses off, at the stupidity of the Ukrainians taking on the Russians. Clearly, saner heads prevailed, and everyone pulled back to live another day. Question is though, did the Ukrainians learn anything from this excercise ? Only time will tell.

Submitted on Monday, May 3, 2021 at 3:40:11 AM

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Reply to Eddy Schmid:   New Content

Okay, we'll see what will be....

Submitted on Monday, May 3, 2021 at 5:33:25 AM

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Reply to Bohdan Yuri:   New Content

Which Wagner opera? Twilight of the Gods? That's where the "stab in the back" comes from.

Submitted on Monday, May 3, 2021 at 3:49:19 PM

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Reply to Maxwell:   New Content

Appreciated the thoughtful reference....

Submitted on Tuesday, May 4, 2021 at 7:29:31 PM

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Reply to Anton Grambihler:   New Content

Anton, I think what you might be missing is that this is just another of the growing number of apologists for US exceptionalism now trolling OEN in the post-Trump Derangement Syndrome era. It's a crafty new look for the Russia Russia Russia obsessed.

Submitted on Sunday, May 2, 2021 at 4:56:24 PM

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Reply to John Lawrence Ré:   New Content

I use to find the fall of intelligent debate based on fact finding depressing how ever there is a time to move on. Let's just build that pipeline and high speed rail across the Bering Straight and join the unipolar world of nations and their citizens as we kick the transnational criminals like the oil companies to the curb and build for the citizens treasure, commons and inalienable rights of man not corporations. As for Ukraine it will be broken up and return to Poland, Russia and other countries it was carved from, no loss there in my opinion.

Submitted on Sunday, May 2, 2021 at 8:49:20 PM

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Reply to George King:   New Content

No dispute with anything in your post, George but would Poland take back bits of Ukraine ? Poland is not the economic wonder house of the Baltics, their economy is also going down the gurgler, that's why they host U.S. bases on their soil, trying to cream off the dollars, as it's the only income the State has, how could they take on a slice of Ukraine on top of their own economic situation ? Russia has already said on many occassions, they do not want the Ukraine, as the economic cost to drag Ukraine back into a rational economic World would be far too great on Russia's economy. ( I suspect this is the aim of the Americans, as a economic crash for Russia would be most helpful to the Americans) I fail to understand, why many people refuse to listen and accept such a statement from Russia and continue to persue the fallacy that Russia has eyes on the FAILED STATE of Ukraine. IMHO, the Ukrainians have well and truly burnt their bridges and I believe, deserve everything coming their way, as clearly, they are far to ignorant and selfish to see the light.

Submitted on Monday, May 3, 2021 at 3:50:52 AM

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Reply to Eddy Schmid:   New Content

Eddy, in regards to "their economy is also going down the gurgler, that's why they host U.S. bases on their soil, trying to cream off the dollars, as it's the only income the State has" it must be understood that the requirement of US arms sales (F-35's boondoggle) will suck up any perceived fantasy of creaming dollars (other than the bribed and blackmailed). I agree Russia and anyone else other than corporations from outside Ukraine with designs on the theft of the disappearing treasure, commons and unalienable rights of those residing in Ukraine in seeking Russia's vast resources and removing her from the path of Empire's hegemony in keeping Germany down and Russia out.

The first NATO Secretary General, Lord Ismay, stated the organization's goal was "to keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down". A series of rephrasing of this famous quote follows: The purpose of NATO is to keep the West in, the Russians out, and the isolationists (especially in Europe) down.

Flores's description which has become evident; "The unipolar moment is over, and multi-polarity has arrived. This is a growing success and a great achievement for the people of Asia, Latin America, the Middle-East, and Sub-Saharan Africa. All wars and coups the U.S. has engaged in since the end of WWII was aimed at suppressing this multipolar eventuality".

Unipolar Spin: Why Imperial Leftists (neoliberals) Vilify Russia's Social Democracy

Submitted on Monday, May 3, 2021 at 9:36:20 AM

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Just a correction here where part of my sentence was trashed by the editing process, this is the original sentence correction in bold; Let's just build that pipeline and high speed rail across the Bering Straight and join the multipolar world movement of nations and their citizens as we kick the unipolar world transnational criminal cabal/s like the corporations, oil companies to the curb and build for the citizens treasure, commons and inalienable rights of man not corporations.

Submitted on Monday, May 3, 2021 at 9:11:21 AM

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Real upside down analysis. U.S. encircles Russia and that is defense. Russia moves troops within its own border and that is offense.

U.S. regime-changes the elected government in Ukraine and that is democracy. Ukrainian nazis attacks Russian-Ukrainians; Russia sends aid and that is Putin aggression.

U.S. illegally destabilizes and invades Syria and that is defense. Russia is invited in by the legal government and that is offense.

As for Libya we know who destroyed that prosperous country. What is happening in Africa? Ask Africom.

U.S. wants to "give back" countries they destabilized?

OEN still doing Russia, Russia, Russia and 6 years of debunked Russiagate. Liberals and progressives used to be for peace. Propaganda is the fuel for war.

Submitted on Monday, May 3, 2021 at 6:45:47 PM

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Well, it was fun to look at a map and see that Kiev is about as far away from Moscow as San Francisco is from San Diego.

To me, it is quite obvious that Putin is, IMHO, taking actions to counter US aggression. Can we talk about Hunter Biden now? He only received his position because he was a conduit between the criminals in Ukraine and the criminals in the USA. Hillary, Obama, Biden.

I upvoted this as a "Must Read" but also as "Funny". There doesn't seem to be a "Bullshit" award.

This might be a stretch, but I've been considering Biden's new jobs and infrastructure programs and wondering whether or not FDR initiated the "New Deal" to put the USA on a war footing with the Axis.

Submitted on Monday, May 3, 2021 at 7:37:08 PM

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