ve many rabidly Republican friends. Some of my high school classmates and other schoolmates have somehow become staunch advocates of free-market capitalism and American world hegemony, and worse, remain so to this day.
It was in a dialogue among 3 or 4 of us that the most rabid of all suggested in a Facebook post that Mitt Romney would defeat President Obama by 53 to 44 percent if the coming election were between those two men.
Now, Jim is a smart fellow, an auditor and CPA. But he's backing the wrong horse for incredibly unfounded reasons.
As I told him, the question of voter regret is irrelevant. Mitt Romney will never run against Obama again. The right question is, "who will defeat the inevitable Hillary Clinton?"
The GOP might as well be mice looking for someone to bell the cat.
I think Jim knows it, but despite all their bluster, and negative and dilatory politics, the Republican Party has no person whose stature and reputation stands out.
One Republican DOES have that stature, but he would have to repudiate the Republican Administration of 2001-4 in order to fully repair his reputation, and that is Colin Powell. Powell is a moderate Republican, and in that Party's continuing move to the right, he would be unacceptable to the Party, if he even wanted to make a run. Powell could have defeated Al Gore in 2000, but chose not to run, and became, with perhaps good intentions, George W. Bush's Secretary of State, with what I would call negative results for him.
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Since the race will lack Powell, who under earlier conditions would have had a good shot at being President, and because of the continuing failure of the Republican Party to create any emotional rapport whatsoever with the American people, there will be another Klown Kar nomination process in 2016, and the election will even more turn on two things.
First, which Party spends the most money, now that the floodgates are open due to CU and McKutcheon (we should smile to think there is anything left of democracy but the form). There are many more 1/10th-percenters among Republicans than among Democrats, but the super-rich give to both Republicans and Democrats, hedging their bets (they are gamblers, after all, not patriots by any means), and they will do the same in the 2016 election. Romney wouldn't have a chance, he is more of a retread than Hillary is!
He would exhibit no more personal empathy in 2015-16 than he did in 2011-2012. He would be STARTING as damaged goods. His priority of self-interest during his entire career has been too nakedly exposed in the campaign of 2012. Everybody already KNOWS he would be the OUTRIGHT candidate for winner-take-all free-market capitalism.
Hillary Clinton is only the heir to the man who SAVED capitalism, Barack Obama. Conservatives SHOULD be OVERJOYED knowing that a conservative Democrat is going to be President until at least 2020, if the nation and world last that long.
The neocon foreign policy establishment will not find it hard to deal with a staunch Israel advocate as Hillary Clinton, though it is conceivable that she will not permit the kind of skullduggery Victoria Nuland and Ambassador Pyatt perpetrated in Ukraine, which has woken up Cold War tensions to everyone's peril.
And although Americans have been painstakingly behaviorally manipulated to exhibit knee-jerk reactions against anything that has even the appearance of anything socialistic, a majority of them is still not voting for someone whose wife drives "a couple of Cadillacs." No one would be able to articulate any compelling reason for his running besides ego.
Wanna know how Romney could create the biggest bump of all? Tell his six sons to immediately join the US military in combat arms.
It might not win the election-- our war policies are still utterly FUBAR, incompetent with a touch of insane, and the call might be seen as as out-of-touch a cry for an impossible result as that of the Rev. Carl McIntyre, one of the last outliers calling for "victory" in Vietnam in the early 1970s-- but he'd have a tsunami of a swell in popularity, particularly if his family of corn-fed heirs went off and signed up.
The second reason, of course, that neither Romney nor anyone else can defeat Hillary Clinton is the inevitability of the election of a female president, which event was put off for the last election. It will happen now, no matter who the GOP runs in this pro forma election.
On the Democratic side, there is a certain amount of support among the minority progressive wing for Sen. Elizabeth Warren in lieu of Hillary. I think the election might be closer if Warren were the nominee because she is both junior in experience to Hillary and she is also (in most ways) somewhat progressive, or at least more of a liberal than Hillary. But even she would beat whoever the Republicans nominated.
Informally, I am offering to cover all action against Hillary Clinton at odds today assuming that Clinton is not removed from the race for reasons beyond her control like illness or accident. My only fear is that I shall not offer odds high enough to attract lots of Republican bettors.
My name is William Perkins Homans the third, but probably more people know me as the bluesman (and artist) Watermelon Slim.
I've been in the fight against war, fascism, injustice and inhumanity for 47 years. I was at MayDay, 1971, and at the moratorium March the week before. I was one of the leaders of the Great New Jersey (more...)