My political prediction for 2012 (based on
absolutely no inside information): Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden swap
places. Biden becomes Secretary of State -- a position he's apparently
coveted for years. And Hillary Clinton, Vice President.
So the Democratic ticket for 2012 is Obama-Clinton.
Why do I say this? Because Obama needs to stir the passions and
enthusiasms of a Democratic base that's been disillusioned with his
cave-ins to regressive Republicans. Hillary Clinton on the ticket can do
Moreover, the economy won't be in superb shape in the months leading
up to Election Day. Indeed, if the European debt crisis grows worse and
if China's economy continues to slow, there's a better than even chance
we'll be back in a recession. Clinton would help deflect attention from
the bad economy and put it on foreign policy, where she and Obama have
The deal would also make Clinton the obvious Democratic presidential
candidate in 2016 -- offering the Democrats a shot at twelve (or more)
years in the White House, something the Republicans had with Ronald
Reagan and the first George Bush but which the Democrats haven't had
since FDR. Twelve years gives the party in power a chance to reshape the
Supreme Court as well as put an indelible stamp on America.
According to the latest Gallup poll, the duo is this year's most
admired man and woman. This marks the fourth consecutive win for Obama while
Clinton has been the most admired woman in each of the last 10 years.
She's topped the list 16 times since 1993, exceeding the record held by
former First Lady Eleanor Roosevelt, who topped the list 13 times.
Obama-Clinton in 2012. It's a natural.
Robert Reich, former U.S. Secretary of Labor and Professor of Public Policy at the University of California at Berkeley, has a new film, "Inequality for All," to be released September 27. He blogs at www.robertreich.org.
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