Paul Manafort has received his second sentence, so his total sentence comes out to about seven years, with no eligibility for parole, because he's guilty of federal crimes.
All the news anchors and pundits are saying that Manafort is angling for a pardon from Donald Trump. It makes sense. But will Trump give Manafort a pardon. My guess is that polling will decide. If polls show that pardoning Manafort will boost support from Trumps MAGA followers and voters in general, Trump will probably do it. If polling shows that it hurts Trump in the general election, he'll be less likely to pardon.
But another factor is which pollsters even ask the question and whether they make it public.
My guess is that Rasmussen, the conservative and only pollster that routinely shows Trump with net positive approval ratings, will run a poll. I'm not sure they'll make it public. And their poll will probably show that Trump's approval increases with the pardon. But they are, in my opinion, a very unreliable and untrustworthy pollster, so it will be important for other polling organizations to ask the question: "If President Trump pardons Paul Manafort will that increase or decrease the likelihood you will vote for him?
The big question is ,Will pollsters ask the question?
Rob Kall is an award winning journalist, inventor, software architect,
connector and visionary. His work and his writing have been featured in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, CNN, ABC, the HuffingtonPost, Success, Discover and other media.
He's given talks and workshops to Fortune
500 execs and national medical and psychological organizations, and pioneered
first-of-their-kind conferences in Positive Psychology, Brain Science and
Story. He hosts some of the world's smartest, most interesting and powerful
people on his Bottom Up Radio Show,
and founded and publishes one of the top Google- ranked progressive news and
opinion sites, OpEdNews.com
more detailed bio:
Rob Kall has spent his adult life as an awakener and empowerer-- first in the field of biofeedback, inventing products, developing software and a music recording label, MuPsych, within the company he founded in 1978-- Futurehealth, and founding, organizing and running 3 conferences: Winter Brain, on Neurofeedback and consciousness, Optimal Functioning and Positive Psychology (a pioneer in the field of Positive Psychology, first presenting workshops on it in 1985) and Storycon Summit Meeting on the Art Science and Application of Story-- each the first of their kind. Then, when he found the process of raising people's consciousness and empowering them to take more control of their lives one person at a time was too slow, he founded Opednews.com-- which has been the top search result on Google for the terms liberal news and progressive opinion for several years. Rob began his Bottom-up Radio show, broadcast on WNJC 1360 AM to Metro Philly, also available on iTunes, covering the transition of our culture, business and world from predominantly Top-down (hierarchical, centralized, authoritarian, patriarchal, big) to bottom-up (egalitarian, local, interdependent, grassroots, archetypal feminine and small.) Recent long-term projects include a book, Bottom-up-- The Connection Revolution, debillionairizing the planet and the Psychopathy Defense and Optimization (more...)