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Iraq after Elections of Mar, 7 2010

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Message Hamma Mirwaisi
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Iraq is facing uncertainty now. To form a new Government in Iraq you need 163 out of 325 seats. The Iraqi parliaments 325 seats are divided along the line of 310 general seats, 8 seats for Christians and other minorities and 7 compensatory seats.

The large political parties win seats as follows:
Allawi's Iraqiya win 91 seats.
Maliki's State of Law win 89 seats.
The Iraqi National Alliance of Religious Shi'a parties win 70 seats
Kurd wins 56 seats
Other political parties win 4 seats
Total is equal 325 seats.

If Dr. Iyad Allawi get the support of the entire members without two large Shi'a groups above his total of seats will be 166 seats.
On the other hand the current PM al-Maliki will have 159 seats, if he gets the Iraqi National Alliance on board.

PM al-Maliki sends delegations to Iran today to meet Sayyid Muqtadā al-Sadr the leader of the Mahdi army who fought US forces and PM in the past. Mahdi army wins 40 seats out of the 70 seats within the Iraqi National Alliance bloc above. PM al-Maliki killed many members of Mahdi army in the civil war in Iraq. And he defected from former PM Ibrahim al-Jaafari Islamic Dawa party and formed his own Islamic Dawa party. Former PM Ibrahim al-Jaafari is part of the same Iraqi National Alliance group with 70 seats bloc above. Now he needs help from the two enemies he made in the past. He needs their help to form a new Iraqi Government. He pushed the Kurds around few time militarily and financially too.

The influence of Iran as I said before in my previous article will be tested now. Is Iran going to pressure Sayyid Muqtadā al-Sadr and former PM Iraq Ibrahim al-Jaafari or not? Both of them are from Iraqi Shi'a religious alliance above. Is Iran going to pressure the Iraqi National Alliance bloc to get united with PM al-Maliki against Dr. Iyad Allawi Iraqiya bloc or not? The answer will be known soon one way or other.

Iraqi President Jalal Talabani is in Iran for Nowruz celebrations. He wants very badly to be President of Iraq for another term. He runs to his master the Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for help. He is helping PM al-Maliki indirectly. He is very close friend of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad they do share a secret. The Kurds are speculating that President Talabani helped President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad with the plan to kill Dr. Abdul-Rahman Ghassemlou the leader of the Iranian Kurd in 1989 in Vienna.

What other secrets are there between both Presidents? What kind of secrets are they sharing to be so close to one another? May be the CIA knows the answer better. The US forces arrested one of the killers of Dr. Abdul-Rahman Ghassemlou in Arbil-Iraq and then they released him after integrations for long time without extraditing him to Austria to face justice.

President Jalal Talabani for sure is sharing many secret with Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad they are old friends from during the Iran-Iraq war. Just likewise he was sharing many secrets with Iraqi President Saddam Hussein for many years before the war. President Jalal Talabani is the survivor. He is kind of master spy, one can make many movies about his work; he is dealing with so many intelligent services around the world in the same time without getting implicated.

For example the questions are how he can work with CIA and Iranian intelligent services in the same time. It is amazing just to think about it.

Please see the article below with regard of the President Jalal Talabani's old friend Dr. Abdul-Rahman Ghassemlou's assassination:
Dr Ghassemlou: Twenty years of silence is enough 11.7.2009
July 11, 2009
Recently, new convincing evidence has surfaced on the Iranian regime's involvement, above all Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the current regime's president in the 1989 execution-style attack obtained from the testimony given to the Italian police by a jailed German arms dealer, who said he had supplied Ahmadinejad with weapons in Vienna shortly before Abdul-Rahman Ghassemlou's assassination.

AFP reported that "the German, who made his statement to Italian anti-Mafia officers in 2006, said he was in contact with Iranian intelligence services in 1989 regarding arms deals. Shortly before the killing, he said he delivered in the first week of July 1989 half a dozen light weapons at a meeting at the Iranian embassy in Vienna."

Iraqi President Jalal Talabani and PM al-Maliki's interest are sharing common goals. Both man in need of Iran help.
Former PM of Iraq Dr. Iyad Allawi's of Iraqiya bloc is very close to Syrian President al-Asad. This is another interesting angle of Iraq politics. Iran and Syria are very close allies. Does the Iraqi PM affect their relationship or not? Israel, Saudi, Egypt, Jordan and the US will be very happy if it does.

The elections of Iraq are not straight forward. Turkey ordered Turkmen in Kirkuk to vote for Dr. Iyad Allawi's bloc against the interest of Kurdish people.

It is complicated outcome this elections. Dr. Iyad Allawi wants Kurdish support now.

Here is one solution for Iraqi politicians. You are all fighting for the oil money not the welfare of Iraqi people. The best solutions are for PM al-Maliki and former PM Dr. Iyad Allawi to get united. One takes PM Job and the other President Job. Divide the wealth of Iraq among yourself and your close supporters just like Barzani and Talabani does for last few years. Massud Barzani's mother solved the problem between Barazani and Talabani they called the strategical partnership (it is really dividing the Kurdistan wealth as a game).

It is understood that PM al-Maliki and former PM Dr. Iyad Allawi are nationalist pan Arabists so what is stopping you both to share equally the God given (Sorry US giving not God, God stayed out of Iraq politics long time ago) wealth of Iraq.

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Hamma Mirwaisi was exposed to the oppression of Kurds while still a youth, as his education was frequently interrupted by Iraqi government harassment. Forbidden from entering university in 1968, he had little choice but to join the peshmerga (more...)

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