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If it is united, there may be intense security threats

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The TTP in the last week has nominated Fazlullah as the king of arm, the arrant-antagonist of the Pakistan army. In the effort, the process of selecting an apt leadership has been completed, which according to some analysts emerges sometimes ambivalent, divisive, and even generating b loody altercations among the diverse factions within TTP. In fact, the leadership plays a decisive role in any organization in pursuit of the desired agendas. It paves the way for articulating the policy directions and channels its active network on the path that the leadership conceives as more viable. Similarly, the TTP is subject to have such a competent leadership, which could refurbish its militant schemes.

Therefore, it is often observed that TTP's agenda tilts keep on molding towards new directions whenever the leader is replaced. Let's see the recent saga of Taliban's willingness for talks with the Pakistani government in the wake of the accorded decision, undertaken in All Parties Conference (APC). Hereafter, the TTP leader Hakkem-ul-Allah was flexible to convene the talks for sake of armistice so that the bloody altercations and chaotic situation could come to an end. However, he is eliminated due to his undesired plans.

Likewise, Wali-ul-rehman was convinced by the concerned authorities to come to the consensus by dialogues and talks for sake of ending up the bloody militancy. Presently, Fazlullah as mentioned above has captured the reins of TTP and is notorious for his un-Islamic attitude towards his rivals, particularly the soldiers of Pakistan Army. Afterward, the TTP's policy would ultimately be more antagonistic, vehement, vigorous, and sabotaging as compared to the previous Hakkemullah's era.

Thence, the appalling perils of explosions and the likely carnage are hovering due to the vehement nature of the selected chief of TTP. 

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Fazlullah has previously committed an inhuman act of barbarism when he chopped up the heads of 17 troops of Pakistan army and threw them on the road. Nonetheless, before repeating the inhuman practices, he has to meet with the arduous challenges within TTP. The militant warlord would firstly accentuate his energies on organizing TTP and would integrate the different factions into one force, making it as robust-adversary to the Pakistan army.   In this endeavor, he may confront several difficulties due to the certain militant activists.

Khan Said Sajna (36 years old), the leader of South Waziristan, was expected to become the TTP leader. Nonetheless, he could not be selected despite his group tried to utilize their influence. He may differ with Fazlullah on the flexible stance that the former maintains for the purpose of truce. On the basis of these differences, the group led by Khan Said Sajna may oppose to Fazlullah. According to a report prepared by the Atlantic Council, there is also a bad blood between the Hakkeemullah's camp and Sajna.

Another affliction that Fazlullah would face in the path of having TTP integrated is Shariyar Mehsud. He is also experienced militant. He was expelled by Baitullah Mehsud in 2009 from North Waziristan. In the wake of Hakkeem-ul-Allah's death, Shariyar returned from Afghanistan and his group publicly backed him to become TTP leader. Thus, the expulsion and ignorance in the matter of leadership may alienate him to Fazlullah.

The third turbulence for Fazllullah is Omar Khalid Khurrasani. Actually, this militant is the leader of TTP's Mohmand Agency branch. He belongs to Safi branch of Pashtuns. He also desired to become the leader but was ignored because he does not come off the Mehsud Family. Like in the past, there has been bad-blood among the different segments of TTP on the issue of leadership. Similarly, the ignored fighters as said above are likely to be estranged. Kugelman, a security analyst, believes that with the death of Hakeem-ul-Allah, the factional differences could boil over. However, on the other hand, if Fazlullah succeeds in pacifying the grudges, certain leaders maintain, he would give tough-time to the security forces assigned to maintain the law-and-order situation in the country.   

He is an arch-enemy to the armed forces of Pakistan who ousted him through a decisive military operation under the code appellation of Rah-e-Rast from May 16, 2009, to July 15, 2013, in Swat Valley, where he had enforced his branded Shariah and made the writ of Pakistani government ceased. He would expedite his efforts for sabotage and would assert to accelerate his guerrilla activities. The army convoys could face the severity of bombs planted on the road-side and even anti-armed mines may also be sowed. Under Fazlullah's command, TTP would try its heinous best-efforts to repeat the terrorist incidents, taken place near GHQ (October 11, 2009), Mehran Naval Base (May 2011), and PAF Kamra Base (August 29, 2012). In short, it could undertake conventional and un-conventional methods in order to fulfill its atrocious agendas. Thus, the security forces should be highly alert to eradicate any sort of challenge that TTP may pose.

Presently, TTP has threatened, on November 10, 2013, to inflict the irreparable loss to the Punjab government. It is planning to target the political leadership of PML (N). Therefore, the Punjab government needs to be acumen in dealing with the present threat. Finally, Fazlullah with integrated and accordant TTP, who intends to inflict massive-punishment to the Pakistani government and armed forces, would be more dangerous. Therefore, the stake-holders should not be apoplectic but should formulate the acute schemes in order to cope with Fazlullah and also undertake in-sighted decisions for sake of keeping internal security and stability in control.


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Muhammad Irfan has authored many books. He is an internationally recognized scholar. He has presented his papers in national and international conferences. He is also a freelance journalist and contributes to both national and international (more...)

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