Official Photo of Hassan Rouhani%2C 7th President of Iran%2C August 2013
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President Hassan Rouhani of Iran
Every once in a while an opportunity arises even if it's not been earned. Such an opportunity has arisen and fallen into the lap of the Obama administration regarding Iran and its nuclear development program.
It's quite possible the one thing that can save the Obama crowd (fumblers extraordinaire) from inflicting further foreign policy wounds on themselves is for real diplomatic de'tente with Iran.
Before any deal is struck, expect the long knives of resistance to such a breakthrough happening to be in full chorus. Israel, Saudi Arabia, AIPAC, the neo-cons, Israel's genuflecting sycophants in the Congress plus the other hard right elements in the U.S. that have long bought into the demonization of Iran to reject such diplomacy, denounce and call it collaboration and appeasement.
Then there's the "Death to America" crowd in Iran led by the influential Republican Guard who prosper even while the Iranian people suffer from the imposed economic sanctions placed on Iran by the U.S. who could abet in scuttling any de'tente and with it the resumption of long dead ties between the two antagonists.
New Iran President Hassan Rouhani, himself a former head of negotiator of Iran's nuclear development program since his election in June, has pushed for de'tente with the U.S., written directly to Obama of his intentions and Obama and his administration have agreed to resume negotiations with Iran albeit with the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council plus Germany in Geneva, Switzerland.
Think of the implications of a de'tente with Iran
Attacking that countries nuclear facilities would finally be off the table (though Israel could attack alone it seems inconceivable without U.S. concurrence) and with it a potential debacle that could bring a worldwide economic catastrophe, more war and destabilization in the Middle East, attacks on the U.S. embassy in Iraq, attacks on the U.S. Navy's presence in the Persian Gulf, the potential mining and obstruction of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz where 20% of the world's oil must traverse, a retaliatory attack on Israel by Iran and Hezbollah from Lebanon and the potential for an unintended wider war similar to what occurred prior to World War I where alliances between allies obligated them to defend each other because a minor Archduke Prince Ferdinand of the Austrian-Hungarian Empire was assassinated by a Serbian nationalist in Sarajevo, Serbia precipitating that long ago conflict in 1914 whose aftereffects we're still dealing with a hundred years later.
U.S. hegemony and influence has taken a big hit with the blunder of threatening to attack the Bashar Assad regime in Syria over its alleged use of chemical weapons only to be rescued by Russian President Vladimir Putin's diplomacy whereby Assad would agree to give up its chemical weapons stock to the U.N. Throw in the considerable fallout from revelations by Edward Snowden on the NSA's perverse snooping of all electronic communications of world leaders and their people, then the forced landing of Bolivian President Evo Morales plane in Vienna, Austria suspected of harboring Snowden on board, the quixotic support of ousted President Mohammad Morsi of Egypt in a coup by the Egyptian military only to renege on that support and respect the coup by the military (yet refusing to call it a coup which would automatically trigger the suspension of $1.4 billion in aid to the Egyptian military) are all having a pronounced effect on allies who are resisting U.S. plaints to obediently follow it and/or outright ignoring it and going their own way.