The on again, off again media tease of a Joe Biden presidential run has been a long, running, political soap opera. Now that there's actually tangible hints courtesy of some purported Democratic Party insiders that Biden will jump in the race, the tongues are wagging even more furiously about what actual effect it will have not on the Democratic race, but Hillary. The answer is simple. It will have none.
The Biden for president talk has always been driven by a mix of misgivings about or outright hostility to Clinton as a presidential candidate, both within and without the Democratic Party. This was the big reason that more than a handful of nervous Democrats have relentlessly implored Biden to jump into the race. It's worth noting that Biden during the long running mostly media drama about whether he will or won't jump in, has publicly at least breathed not a single word about his intentions.
Biden is too savvy and experienced a politician to tip his hand on that score. But Hillary has had much to do with that and that have nothing to do with her sterling, near flawless performance at the first Democratic presidential debate. Clinton has had months to formally, and more months informally, to build a strong support base among Democratic Party state and local leaders, corralled endorsements from labor and education unions, a slew of top Democratic Party congresspersons and senators, as well as state and local elected officials. She has secured a king's ransom campaign war chest, and locked down support among many black, Hispanic, LGBT and women's group leaders and organizations.
She's done something else that Biden has had to take note of. The rants, hectoring, harangue, and Inquisition type, near hysterical efforts by the Republican National committee, a gaggle of ultra-conservative Super PACS, and the parade of right wing bloggers and websites and witch hunting GOP controlled congressional committees on Benghazi and her State Department emails, have collapsed in disarray and a candid admission from GOP congresssman Kevin McCarthy that the hearings were a blatant politically hatched effort to derail her presidential candidacy
There's also Bernie Sanders. His challenge to Clinton is both healthy and real. However, he's still miles back of her in the percentage of those who say they'll back him in the key Southern and Western primaries that will come this spring.
Then there are both the polls and Biden's past performances as an actual presidential candidate. Polls show him lagging Sanders, and badly lagging Clinton in Democratic voter support.
Biden has proven less than a stalwart pillar of Democratic strength on the campaign trail in his two prior residential efforts. In 1988 he was dogged by accusations of plagiarism and fabrication in his speeches and self-aggrandizing references to his past. He soon dropped out of the race.
In 2008 he did even worse and didn't get a single percentage point in the first out the box Democratic presidential Iowa caucus balloting. He quickly dropped out the race.
There's also not a whole lot to separate Biden from Clinton on. They are cut from the same political cloth, consummate party insiders, have a moderate, centrist stance on the issues, appeal to the same batch of like-minded Democratic core voters, not to mention the top cat Democratic Party donors. In other words Biden fishes from the same Democratic Party stream as Clinton, the difference is she's been at it a lot longer, and has done it a whole lot better.
There's no evidence that Biden if he chooses to run can do any better than Clinton in parrying off the assaults from the GOP over his gaffes, the hip lock with Obama, and his abysmal failures to mount any kind of credible, sustained campaign the times he was an actual presidential candidate. Worse, there's not much difference between Biden and Clinton on the big ticket issues from health care to foreign policy.
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