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OpEdNews Op Eds    H3'ed 1/30/20

Aftermath: The Iran War After The Soleimani Assassination

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"Praise be to God, who made our enemies fools." - Ayatollah Khamenei

The Killing

I've been writing and speaking for months about the looming danger of war with Iran, often to considerable skepticism.

In June, in an essay entitled " Eve of Destruction: Iran Strikes Back ," after the U.S. initiated its "maximum pressure" blockade of Iranian oil exports, I pointed out that "Iran considers that it is already at war," and that the downing of the U.S. drone was a sign that "Iran is calling the U.S. bluff on escalation dominance."

In an October essay, I pointed out that Trump's last-minute calling off of the U.S. attack on Iran in June, his demurral again after the Houthi attack on Saudi oil facilities, and his announced withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria were seen as "catastrophic" and "a big win for Iran" by the Iran hawks in Israel and America whose efforts New York Times (NYT) detailed in an important article, " The Secret History of the Push to Strike Iran." I said, with emphasis, "It always goes to Iran," and underlined that Trump's restraint was particularly galling to hard-line zionist Republican Senators, and might have opened a path to impeachment. I cited the reported statement of a "veteran political consultant" that "The price of [Lindsey] Graham's support" would be an eventual military strike on Iran."

And in the middle of December, I went way out on a limb, in an essay suggesting a possible relation between preparations for war in Iran and the impeachment process. I pointed out that the strategic balance of forces between Israel and Iran had reached the point where Israel thinks it's "necessary to take Iran down now," in "the next six months," before the Iranian-supported Axis of Resistance accrues even more power. I speculated that the need to have a more reliable and internationally-respected U.S. President fronting a conflict with Iran might be the unseen reason-behind the flimsy Articles of Impeachment-that explains why Pelosi and Schumer "find it so urgent to replace Trump before the election and why they think they can succeed in doing that."

So, I was the guy chicken-littling about impending war with Iran.

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Jim Kavanagh Social Media Pages: Facebook Page       Twitter Page       Linkedin page url on login Profile not filled in       Instagram page url on login Profile not filled in

Former college professor, native and denizen of New York City. Blogging at www.thepolemicist.net, from a left-socialist perspective. Also publishing on Counterpunch The Greanville Post, Medium, Dandelion Salad, and other sites around the net. (more...)
 

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shad williams

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(Member since Apr 13, 2011), 25 fans, 66 articles, 18 quicklinks, 3491 comments, 2 diaries (How many times has this commenter been recommended?)
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"Neither Russia nor China is going to fight for Iran. Why would they? They will sit back and watch the war destroy Iran, Israel, and the United States."

Certainly Russia will not abandon Iran? And the Chinese just spent a bunch of money in joint military exercises with the Iranians and Russians. And the backstabbing Erdogan received the S400 July 2019.

And the Tailiban are reclaiming the Afghan skies.

And the Chinese and Russians are completing gas and oil pipelines.

And interestingly no one is talking about the new Iranian brain stun missile...shhhhhh!! Imagine a hospital full of brain dead soldiers. You know what the bastard elites will do - they don't want money going anywhere except into their evil pockets - so they will pull the plug on these poverty stricken warriors and their well private military mercenary counterparts.

Looks like countries no longer have to blow up battlefield enemies into little bitty pieces like the US did to Soleimani...instead just turn the combatant brains into mush instead of bodies into blood and guts.

It seems to me that the punk ass EU elites except for Deutchland are going to allow the US to pull it down by the short hairs and turn their economies into Macron Merde du jour.

Submitted on Friday, Jan 31, 2020 at 3:10:00 PM

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Jim Kavanagh

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I agree with most of what you say. Regarding whether Russia or China will fight for Iran, I think they will help, but not get directly involved in the fighting. (Russia is the most relevant here.) If they would--and I would advocate this--Russia should make a mutual defense treaty now, before a full-scale US attack. That would actually help to prevent it.

Submitted on Friday, Jan 31, 2020 at 11:14:18 PM

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