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Late Votes and the True Vote Model indicate that Obama may have won by 16 million votes

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Obama: 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean);

Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV

State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV

True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 Election Model (2-party shares)

Obama: 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot)

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Recorded: 51.6%, 332 EV

True Vote Model: 56.4%, 391 EV

State Exit Poll n/a (31 states polled, unadjusted polls not released)

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I have Master's degrees in Applied Mathematics and Operations Research and began my career as a Numerical Control Manufacturing Engineeer for a major Defense/Aerospace manufacturer. I was employed in the Corporate Finance Division of several major (more...)
 

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Late Votes and the True Vote Model indicate that Obama may have won by 16 million votes