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The Enduring Middle East Strategic Framework Begins to Emerge as Iran Surges, and the US Resiles

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Nasrallah then shifted to the original theme of his speech: the possibility that HizbAllah officials would be indicted by the International Special Tribunal investigating the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri in February 2005. Originally, the Tribunal identified and was ready to indict senior Syrian intelligence officials and their accomplices in Lebanese intelligence. However, this option was put aside for political reasons and alternate low-risk approaches -- such as blaming HizbAllah -- were explored.

Nasrallah, however, is adamant on avoiding any accusation of the HizbAllah. After all, Syrian intelligence killed Hariri while the HizbAllah's security command only provided look-outs and perimeter security. Therefore, Nasrallah made Bashar a veiled offer which he knew Bashar could not refuse. HizbAllah would launch a propaganda campaign shifting the blame onto Israel. Any attempt by Damascus to interfere with this campaign would result in the exposure of the Syrian role.

Nasrallah blamed Israel for exploiting the tragic demise of Hariri for its own nefarious objectives. "They [Israel] speak of a big explosion, a civil war, crisis, and more. We want to expose the truth surrounding the circumstances of al-Hariri's death, something that from our perspective is the right of every Lebanese. We want to protect the unity of Lebanon and the well-being of its citizens."

Nasrallah then promised to reveal in a week time the whole truth about Hariri's assassination and the responsibility of Israel. "This coming Monday [August 9, 2010], I will hold a press conference during which I will present evidence of Israel's involvement in the al-Hariri assassination and the goings-on in the international tribunal in The Hague. We will present significant proof that Israel, via its agents, tried to convince al-Hariri already in 1993 that HizbAllah wants to assassinate him. We blame the Israeli enemy for the assassination, and the figures I will reveal will open new horizons in the investigation that will lead to the identity of the true murderer."

And with that promise, Tehran and HizbAllah have wrested control over the political dynamic in Beirut, Damascus, and in effect the entire Arab world. And the threat of a regional explosion keeps rising.

Source: http://oilprice.com/Geo-Politics/Middle-East/The-Enduring-Middle-East-Strategic-Framework-Begins-to-Emerge-as-Iran-Surges-and-the-US-Resiles.html

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I have an interest in the financial markets, commodities and Geopolitics.
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