Russian and Chinese views on Syria and Iran differ greatly with Western countries. Will either nation or both draw red lines? Will they clearly say full-scale intervention against Syria won't be tolerated?
Will EU countries support US policies they think reckless? The fullness of time alone will have final say on these and other major issues.
Next year could be defining. At stake is whether things will spin violently out of control, or will moderates prevail. It's unclear what's most likely. At this time, hawks have control. Whether they'll keep it remains to be seen.
NNC: Is there any relationship with new State leadership and placing more importance on East Asian foreign policy?
Months ago Obama announced foreign policy emphasis on two major areas - the Middle East and East Asia. More recently, North Africa came more in focus.
Obama may ask Congress for war on terror funding against Mali, Nigeria, and Libya. At issue is solidifying control over regional resources.
Perhaps other regional countries will be targeted. Obama's warmaking appetite is insatiable. It exceeds all his predecessors and then some.
He's already waging multiple direct and proxy wars. His rhetoric about winding them down rings hollow. He wants to make the most of the next four years. He governs like a serial killer. At State, expect Kerry to offer full support.