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The Hydropower Solution in Central Asia: yes but"

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Eventually the Tajik government cancelled the deal in 2009 for what President Emomali Rahmon qualified as "the Russian company's failure to honor its commitments." Further disappointment came when President Dmitry Medvedev declared in January 2009 when visiting Uzbekistan's President Karimov in Tashkent that he would support the project if all the countries in the region agreed to it, which was a polite way to say no thank you. Uzbekistan had again grown closer to Russia after the U.S. called for an international investigation following the killing of protesters in Andijan, Uzbekistan. In retaliation, the United States was forced to close the Karshi-Khanabad air base in 2005 that was then playing an important role with Afghanistan operations.

Rogun Step 2

Many questions remain in the air: how much more money will be raised through voluntary/forced contribution? How much money can the government allocate out of its own budget for Rogun? Where will the additional money come from if the money collected from the people and the government is not sufficient? What guarantees are place to prevent the money already collected from being misappropriated? What will happen if feasibility studies turn out to say that the project is not environmentally sound? What can Tajikistan do if its neighbors oppose the project? What future does Tajikistan have if it remains energy dependent on countries that turn off the switch for political reasons?

In an interview granted to AsiaPlus and published on February 12, 2010, and responding to the question, "what is Washington's position on Rogun?" Robert O. Blake, Jr., Assistant Secretary for the Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs at the State Department, summarized the view shared by many, by saying, "we understand the importance of energy security for Tajikistan and support the government's efforts to make sure its citizens, enterprises, and institutions have access to adequate and reliable power. We encourage Tajikistan to take into consideration the views of their neighbors when pursuing hydropower development plans like Rogun. In addition to Rogun, we encourage Tajikistan to consider developing small hydropower stations."

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