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(7) From 1990 to today, Japan, post-bubble, experienced over two decades of rolling recessions and recoveries. None of the latter ones proved sustainable.
(8) In post-bubble Japan and America, consumer inflation (excluding food and energy) exhibited long-term declines. Japan's current sub-zero level shows deflation. America's at 1% shows minimal inflation, at least by CPI measures that are extraordinary unreliable.
(9) The employment/population ratio in both countries shows declines because of persistent unemployment, grossly underreported in America to hide levels above 20%. The official 9.4%, the so-called U-3 level, is meaningless.
A Second Rosenberg Analysis
Worrying concerns in it include:
(1) Grossly overvalued equity prices;
(2) West Texas Intermediate oil prices above $91 a barrel. Brent spot prices exceed $97. "Oil is being driven in part by speculative fervour."
(3) Vacant housing units in America hit a record high. So is the housing vacancy rate. Housing is in deep depression. Unless reversed, sustained economic recovery is impossible.
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