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The State of the Race

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Georgia: (16 electoral votes, Cook rates tossup.) Real Clear Politics shows Biden leading by .4 percent; race is too close to call.

Michigan: (16 electoral votes, Cook rates lean Democrat.) Real Clear Politics shows Biden leading by 7.2 percent; Biden has been leading for several months. (Trump has pulled his TV ads in Michigan (Click Here ).)

Prediction: Biden will win. 238+16=254.

North Carolina: (15 electoral votes, Cook rates tossup.) Real Clear Politics shows Biden up by 2.7 percent. race is too close to call.

Pennsylvania: (20 electoral votes, Cook rates lean Democrat.) Real Clear Politics shows Biden up by 6.4 percent; Biden has been leading for several months.

Prediction: Biden will win. 254+20=274 (enough to win presidential election).

Texas: (38 electoral votes, Cook rates lean Republican.) Real Clear Politics shows Trump up by 4.4 points; race is too close to call.

Wisconsin: (10 electoral votes, Cook rates lean Democrat.) Real Clear Politics shows Biden up by 6.3 points.

Prediction: Biden will win. 274+10=284.

Summary: Biden will easily win the popular vote -- by more than 12 points. He will also win the electoral college.

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Bob Burnett is a Berkeley writer. In a previous life he was one of the executive founders of Cisco Systems.
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