3. The delegate count, not the vote count, is what matters now. Which means it is important to note that, outside the Deep South, Bernie Sanders has racked up more pledged delegates than Hillary Clinton, 911 to 863 -- a 48-delegate advantage for Bernie. Voters in the Blue and Purple states are clearly and repeatedly telling the Democratic Party that they want Bernie Sanders on their November ballot.
4. Hillary touts her ties to the Democratic Party, casting Bernie as an interloper. However, 43% of voters nationally are independent/unenrolled. So Bernie being the longest-serving independent in Congressional history is actually an advantage in the General Election. The Democratic Party should take note.
5. Repeatedly lately, national and statewide polls have shown that Bernie Sanders, not Hillary Clinton, is the stronger candidate against any of the Republican presidential candidates.
6. If Hillary wins the nomination based only on the super-delegates holding firm against Bernie's national momentum and/or votes in their own home states, all hell will break loose. Sanders voters will perceive that the fix was in. How that Bernie contingent will vote in November will be totally unpredictable.
7. The Democratic Party cannot count on Sanders supporters automatically voting for Hillary if she is the nominee, even under the threat of Trump or Cruz. Bernie is winning with young and first-time voters, most of which do not have any party loyalty, and many have been very vocal that they cannot/ will not vote for Hillary in the General Election.
"Bernie or Bust" bumper stickers, bloggers proclaiming they're done voting for "the lesser of two evils, because that means you're still voting for evil." Others proclaiming that, for the first time in their lives they have a candidate they can vote for enthusiastically -- and that's not Hillary Clinton they're talking about.
Those voters are casting protest votes already by voting for Bernie, despite (or maybe because of) all of Mainstream Media proclaiming she's got the nomination in the bag. Those voters will have no qualms voting for Green Party's Jill Stein, writing in Bernie's name on the ballot (which might feel good but will not count), or just skipping that line on the ballot. Or they'll skip the election altogether.
Conversely, I have not heard any indication that Hillary's supporters in any large numbers are threatening not to vote for Bernie in November if he is the nominee.
8. Also, as we have seen across the nation, if he is the nominee, energized Bernie supporters will vote down the ballot with an eye to getting him a Congress and Senate he can work with. If Hillary is the nominee, that energy dissolves, and Clinton, if she wins the White House, will end up with the same obstructionist Congress Obama has had to deal with.
The question now for the Super-delegates is this: Where do your loyalties actually lie?
Do you, Super-Delegate, want to win the nomination for Hillary, because it's her turn, because she's a woman -- or maybe because of the money she has already has or has promised to raise from her rich friends for your campaigns or party organization, as she has been openly bragging about lately?
Or do you want to win the White House?
Because, bottom line, Bernie Sanders' momentum, his wins in Blue and Purple states, his superior viability in the General Election, and the wild enthusiasm of his supporters, all add up to the fact that Bernie Sanders has the best shot we have at keeping a Republican out of the White House.
All of this makes for the possibility of a very interesting Democratic National Convention in July.
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