Admittedly, Palin is unelectable nationally, though polling mid-teens against primitive Repugs. Unlike Obama, who still boasts a whopping 50% chance of re-election, depending how off-kilter or crazed is his opponent. Sideswiped by more calculating Tea Party nuts Bachmann and Perry, Palin looks not likely to transcend media celebrity, Christian cheerleader, or cash-cow "author;" much diminished as king-maker, she can still, however, channel takings into SarahPAC. While a tiny 8% of surveyed GOP leaders want Palin in, her mission continues as Tea-vangelist preacher for the lucrative church of Palin. In 2012, Palin could help in the boonies, as Perry will in the deep south and Bachmann in the 19th C. Midwest heartland. Be a rogue: run, Sarah, run.
Without doubt, whatever slick, media-friendly pitches Palin and Obama foisted on us in '08, almost all are discredited, thus their collective, precipitous plunges in approval. However Palin differs from Obama, heart-driven loyalists show little mercy when slapped by: 1) bad faith losers or quitters, 2) hypocrisy, 3) craven ambition, or 4) betrayals of great and explicit promise. Don't blame me: I am just the messenger.
Buyer's Remorse -- or Reality?
Even "fool me twice" rightwing numbskulls won't abide chronic losers, keen for stupider sound bites but from fresher sources. Did not Palin and Obama proclaim, above all, "we're different -- up from, by and for the people, not self-interested, money-driven politicians." Oops, as treasure totally rules Palin while Obama hunts up a billion dollar war chest. Quitting office, like knowing how to fight hard, is not for Obama, but both newcomers stay true to their highly pragmatic, even bankable "objects of desire." It ain't about helping the poor, sick, or oppressed.
Frankly, mass revulsion against unsuccessful hustling made visible is perfectly rational (a rarity in our times). Voters just got stung with how phony, ill-prepared politicians operate, especially under stress. Even two high-quality, political "performance artists" must face the music when the gaps between supply (their skills) vs. demand (reality) are broadcast far and wide. Well, perhaps Palin never agreed to learn the art of politics, or get beyond sound bites. Enough voters have learned (or were forced to learn) who Palin and Obama were all along (ambitious lightweights, easily bored, eager for some next gig) and what they're likely to do -- and not do, like risk political capital to satisfy principles. Rogues and mavericks, every one.
Does Obama Get Ignition?
Truth is, the mock debt-ceiling crisis, combined with rightwing attacks on Social Security and Medicare, look like GOP general election death traps. The Repug irrationality to pitch only ideological "2010 voters" will backfire, as big majorities, however pissed off, reject extremist blather about "good" defaults. Hogwash. With the right boxing itself into tighter corners, the incredibly inert Obama hasn't lost it all yet, and Andrew Hacker finds positive trends:
The 2012 electorate will differ from 2010's in a crucial respect: it will contain nearly 50 million additional voters. Some will be new, but most of them will be people who supported Obama in 2008. Compared with the 2010 House electorate, they will be younger, more ethnically diverse, with fewer identifying themselves as conservatives, and a higher proportion will be women . . .