It is because the racism and oppressive system of control of
populations of non-whites can be invisible to most whites, that I believe this
is the most likely analogy for what post-apartheid
Demographics
Demographics are the most boring of statistical data if the subject is
voting patterns in
Israeli society is dominated by the minority Ashkenazi Jewish
population (those descended from Eastern Europeans). As of 2006 only 22% of the
Jewish population were Ashkenazi Jews, and the rest were Mizrahi9
(from the Middle East, Asia, and
Among the Jewish population in
The divide and rule strategy, which served colonialists so well created
havoc during post-colonial periods (a recent extreme example being the Rwandan
genocide). Palestinians, too, have been
divided into many groups, which may never re-coalesce into a single people: there
are the Palestinian Israeli citizens, West Bank residents,
The birthrate within
Environment and Land
Even well-intentioned post-apartheid players in
The Jewish National Fund (JNF) has worked for over a century to build
parks over ethnically cleansed Palestinian villages. It uses them as propaganda
to promote its "good stewardship of the land"--carbon sinks, green space, the encouragement
of wildlife habitat, a quiet spot for (Jewish) Israelis to picnic, etc., and
all the while not mentioning the violations of human rights, the massacres, the
theft, that take place because of those parks.14 Justice demands that those parks be returned
to the villagers and descendents of those villagers who were expelled. But in post-apartheid
In the last 10 years, the estimated average per capita carbon dioxide emissions by Israelis were 6.9 metric tons per year (compared to 15.1 tons per capita per year for U.S. citizens)15. With a population of about 8 million16, this is more than 55 million metric tons of CO2 per year emitted on average from both Israelis and Palestinians. One acre of forest absorbs approximately 75 metric tons over 20 years17. (These numbers are given for rainforests and not arid regions, and may not be equivalent.) Since 1901, the JNF has planted more than 250,000 acres of trees18, giving a sequestration rate of 18.8 million metric tons of CO2 in 20 years. In other words, the sequestration rate doesn't come close to the emission rate. But regardless of the origin of those forests, or the effects of forest fires19, there would be a world-wide outcry if the future state tried to cut out its lungs, even to repair a previous injustice. Since the trees planted over ethnically cleansed villages are not native to the region, their presence there has changed the ecology of the land, which is no longer suitable for growing the crops that sustained the former residents.
Land that has been confiscated for roads, houses, and the apartheid wall, is equally unsuitable for farming. With a wildly increasing human population (there and everywhere else), the land will be required and used for other purposes. The vast majority of Palestinians who were stripped of their living as farmers or herders will have to give up the dream of returning to that life for good. Those types of farms will be replaced by factory farms, squeezing the highest yield from the smallest acreage, using high amounts of chemicals and water20. Those farms will be owned by the settlers and their descendents; Palestinians will work as laborers on the Jewish-owned farms. Land redistribution ends up badly no matter where it is done or for what reason, and I can't envision a scenario where land is taken from a settler to give back to the Palestinian who formerly owned it. The Palestinians who have suffered from land and livelihood confiscation, assessments of extraordinary fees, denial of educational opportunities, will not have enough wealth to purchase a farm, even if a Jewish land owner did not have heirs to which to will the land.
With the land being now designated for various purposes, with an
increasing population and decreasing resources, and with the divisions among
the different Palestinian groups, what are the chances that a significant
number of refugees will have the opportunity to return to the country? Unfortunately, I see this also as a very low
probability.
I believe that the system of apartheid in
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1 What Does Justice Look
Like? The Struggle for Liberation in Dakota Homeland , by
Waziyatawin, Ph.D., Living Justice Press, St. Paul, MN 2008.
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