But this tangled web has unravelled. Despite the $36 billion poured into Egypt's military and Americanisation of Egypt's armed forces since the peace treaty with Israel, according to wikileaks-egypt.blogspot.com US officials complained of the "backward-looking nature of Egypt's military posture" (read: Israel is still Egypt's main enemy), that the army generals remained resistant to change and economic reforms to further dismantle central government power.
Egyptian Minister of Defence Muhammad Tantawi "has resisted any change to usage of FMF [foreign military financing] funding and has been the chief impediment to transforming the military's mission to meet emerging security threats." In plain language, Egypt's de facto head of state was criticised by the US because he refused to go along with the new US-Israeli strategy which would incorporate Egypt's defence into a broader NATO war against "asymmetric threats" (read: the "war on terror") and to acquiesce to Israel as the regional hegemon.
Mubarak was the Egyptian strongman that fit Sharon's strategy for the region. But he was overthrown in a truly unforeseen manner -- by the people. Yinon's divide-and-rule strategy -- in the case of Egypt, by inciting Muslim against Copt -- has also come to naught with the popular revolution here, one of its symbols being the crescent and cross.
A year and a half ago, an Israel Navy submarine crossed the Suez Canal to the Red Sea, where it conducted an exercise, reflecting the strategic cooperation between Israel and Egypt, aimed at sending a message of deterrence to Iran. Just one week after the fall of Mubarak, the canal is being used to deliver a message of deterrence -- but this time the message is for Israel, as Iranian warships cross the canal on their way to Syrian ports.
Nor are the upheavals across the Arab world at present following the sectarian scenario envisioned by Yinon. Even the Shia uprising in Bahrain is more about an oppressive neocolonial monarchy, originally imposed by the British, than about Shia-Sunni hostility.