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A time not for celebrating victory over Iran

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While killing the chances of a diplomatic solution to Iran's nuclear issue, the covert Israeli and Western operations against Iran's nuclear program are also not likely to achieve their intended goal of disrupting Iran's nuclear program. The main reason for this observation is that nuclear experts closely monitoring Iran's nuclear activities do not share the exaggerated view of the Israeli and Western politicians and media of the extent of damage caused to Iran's enrichment facilities by the Stuxnet computer worm. A technical report issued on December 22, 2010 by a team of nuclear experts at the Institute for Science and International Security on the impact of Stuxnet computer worm on Iran's uranium enrichment facilities concludes that Stuxnet may have succeeded in disrupting a limited number of Iranian centrifuges temporarily but if the goal of Stuxnet was to quickly destroy all the centrifuges at Natanz enrichment center it failed. IAEA reports also indicate that the monthly low-enriched uranium output at Natanz flattened but never came to a halt from mid 2008 to late 2009 and that it has substantially increased ever since.

To say the least, these acts of covert sabotage against Iran's nuclear program are inimical to the very spirit of diplomatic negotiations aimed at resolving Iran's nuclear issue. They are likely to further strengthen Iranian resolve in pursuing its uranium enrichment program and create more domestic public support for Iran's nuclear program. Not to mention various retaliation options available to Iran, these acts of hostility toward Iran are also likely to force Iran to limit its cooperation with the IAEA in order to minimize harm to its nuclear program. Taking these consequences and realities into account, there should be no reason for celebration.

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Abolghasem Bayyenat Social Media Pages: Facebook page url on login Profile not filled in       Twitter page url on login Profile not filled in       Linkedin page url on login Profile not filled in       Instagram page url on login Profile not filled in

Abolghasem Bayyenat is an independent political analyst and is currently completing his Ph.D studies in political science at Syracuse University. His articles and commentaries have appeared in a dozen of newspapers and online journals. He has also (more...)
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