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What does al-Shabaab want in Somalia? -

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'U.S. airstrikes and al-Shabaab attacks are on the rise. On Monday, al-Shabab, an al-Qaeda affiliate group in Somalia, launched two attacks. This happens regularly, but these attacks, which were probably coordinated, generated considerably more international attention because they targeted U.S. and European Union forces.And why are U.S. troops in Somalia? Here’s what you need to know.'


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I began teaching in 1963,; Ba and BS in Education -Brooklyn College. I have the equivalent of 2 additional Master's, mainly in Literacy Studies and Graphic Design. I was the only seventh grade teacher of English from 1990 -1999 at East Side (more...)
 

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Susan Lee Schwartz

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A take-away:"Analysts see various options in Somalia. The U.S. military could continue business as usual by supporting AMISOM and the SNA, maintaining its relatively high level of airstrikes and conducting periodic joint operations against al-Shabab. But this seems unlikely to break the stalemate and produce a military victory against al-Shabab.

"Another option would be to disengage from Somalia. Under this scenario, the Trump administration might argue that al-Shabab doesn't pose a core threat to U.S. national security interests. Instead of receiving more U.S. assistance, airstrikes and Special Forces operations, Somalia would fend for itself with support from the African Union and its other international partners.

"A third way would entail the United States exercising more diplomatic muscle to facilitate two deals. The first would push Somalia's federal and regional authorities to reconcile and agree to implement and operationalize the country's new national security architecture. To date, political infighting between these leaders has undermined the war against al-Shabab.

"Healing this federal-regional division would be a first step to pursuing a second deal: a negotiated settlement between the Somali authorities and al-Shabab. In this scenario, the purpose of U.S. military force would be to help facilitate a peace deal. If the Somali authorities and al-Shabab embarked on peace talks, Washington could signal its support by agreeing to use airstrikes only for collective self-defense against insurgent attacks."


Submitted on Saturday, Oct 5, 2019 at 12:14:40 AM

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