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The Science of Predicting the Next Shooting Death - CityLab

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'Predictive tools can now track how a single shooting incident triggers a lethal cascade of gunshot violence—and predict who will be targeted next. Much gun violence in American cities follows this tit-for-tat pattern of vendetta between people who know each other. What if there was a way to anticipate that and break the chain? A new study says it’s possible to do just that Using police records of people arrested together for the same offense, researchers mapped a network of 138,163 subjects and looked at the spread of violence within it.  When they ran probabilities on people linked to a shooting victim, what they found was staggering: 63 percent of the 11,123 total shootings in the network were part of a longer chain of gunshot victimization. The closer someone was to a victim, the greater the risk of being shot...'

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Susan Lee Schwartz Social Media Pages: Facebook Page       Twitter Page       Linked In Page       Instagram Page

I began teaching in 1963,; Ba and BS in Education -Brooklyn College. I have the equivalent of 2 additional Master's, mainly in Literacy Studies and Graphic Design. I was the only seventh grade teacher of English from 1990 -1999 at East Side (more...)
 

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