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January 30, 2013

When American Business Fights a Higher Minimum Wage, It's a Tragedy of the Commons

By Daniel Vasey

Raising the minimum wage stimulates the economy and helps business, yet business groups fight it. They see only a higher wage bill. It's a tragedy of the commons, where individual pursuit of immediate gain harms nearly everyone.

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Let's rethink the minimum wage. It's not the government playing Robin Hood, taking from bosses and giving to workers. Raising the minimum boosts spending across the economy, helping businesses that sell to Americans. It's too bad the Chamber of Commerce and conservative business groups fight increases; they're hurting workers and themselves.

The environmentalist Garrett Hardin famously coined "tragedy of the commons" in a 1968 paper in Scientific American. Tragedy results when individuals press their interests on common property, to everyone's detriment. If herders share a common pasture, and each of them breeds as many animals as possible, overgrazing spoils the pasture.

Modern economies are common ground. Keeping wages down helps each business's bottom line, but minimizes what workers can spend, which is bad for every other business. If you own a pizza place, and I own a grocery, you lose if my workers can't afford pizza, and I lose if your workers buy beans instead of beef. What we need is a rule: every business must pay a decent wage. That's what minimum-wage laws are supposed to do.

In today's America, low-income workers are growing in number, and the economy needs their spending more than ever. They take their money to Main Street, where it's needed. Let's restore a decent minimum wage.

Raising the Minimum Gives Millions of Workers More Money to Spend

The proposed Harkin-Miller Fair Minimum Wage Act would raise the federal minimum in three increments from $7.25 to $9.80 an hour. In 2011, 14.8 million workers--twenty percent of hourly employees--earned $9.85 or less.

Not only would nearly all those workers benefit, so would millions more. The Bureau of Labor Statistics tracks wages in retail, food services, hospitality and other industries where most workers start at the minimum wage or a few cents higher and get raises with experience. The Bureau's historical data series show that an increase in the minimum nudges the rest, and median wages in those industries go up by about the same amount.

Minimum-wage increases circulate through the economy. My analysis of Commerce Department data found that annual growth of real gross domestic product averaged 3.17 percent over the period 1950 -- 2011. The gain in years following increases in the federal minimum was 3.25 percent, despite the fact that increases were small and over time failed to keep up with inflation. More sophisticated economic studies also conclude that raising the minimum has a positive effect.

America Needs Low-Income Spenders More than Ever

Until 2008, America's spenders partied. From 1946 until the mid-1970s, real wages and salaries boomed, and spending followed. Although income gains slowed after 1980, spending kept right on growing, as more women entered the workforce and households financed purchases with mounting private debt.

Low-income buyers counted, but were easily overlooked, because they left the party early. From 1970 to the present, the federal minimum wage lost 30 percent of its buying power. Not only were increases small, under GOP administrations they were rare.

The middle class partied on until 2008. Since then, median household annual income has dropped $4000. Home equity has crashed, households don't try to borrow, and banks don't lend. Spending fell with the fortunes of middle-income earners, and though it has risen from the depths of the recession, it remains well below its mid-noughties peak, after adjusting for population growth and inflation.

To restore the fortunes of the middle class, America must improve the incomes of swelling masses who now earn very little. Most of the jobs added since the start of the Great Recession pay low wages, a situation that is not about to improve dramatically. The Bureau of Labor Statistics forecasts that through 2020 the four largest categories of new jobs will be registered nurses, retail salespersons, home health aides and personal care aides. Except for the nurses, most of those jobs pay wages near the bottom.

So the relative contribution of low-income workers to spending will be greater than in past decades. If they get better wages, everyone who sells to Americans wins.

Business Should Welcome Government Action

Whatever the causes of the great recession--private debt, real estate bubble, Wall Street gambling--slack spending was not one of them. Nevertheless, the American economic commons remains in a rut, and better wages at the bottom would aid recovery. Increases in the minimum wage see to it that no one business has to bear the burden alone.

Prices rises might follow an increase, but not to where the inflation alarm would sound. In Australia the minimum hourly wage is 16.76 US dollars, at the current exchange rate. If the US were to adopt the same rate, would high-priced hamburgers bankrupt Americans? Hardly. The Economist's July 2012 Big Mac index listed average prices in USD of $4.33 in the US and $4.68 in Australia, a difference of only 8.1 percent. I'm an American living in Australia and have compared prices at fast-food chains operating in both countries. Prices in USD on comparable items mostly run 10 -- 15 percent higher in Australia, not counting sales taxes.  

Compared with my hypothetical adoption of the Australian minimum, Harkin-Miller would raise wages by a fourth as much. The impact on prices would be slight.

   US conservatives claim that a higher minimum wage kills jobs. A well-referenced refutation of their argument is here.

   We cannot raise every Anerican's wages with a stroke of a pen, but delivering a decent wage to workers who feed money right back into the domestic economy is sound policy.

    Let's start by getting behind Harkin-Miller.



Authors Bio:
Dan Vasey is a home brewer and reformed academic, living in Australia and retired from teaching after stints in Colorado, Papua New Guinea and Iowa. An anthropologist and human ecologist, his research specialty has been population and agriculture. Published works include An Ecological History of Agriculture: 10,000 BC – A.D. 10,000 and scholarly articles on indigenous agriculture in Oceania and on Icelandic population history. Recently he has been an editor and writer for the Berkshire Encyclopedia of Sustainability. Construction of his website on alternative futures is behind schedule.

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