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The Iowa Caucus and the "Religion" factor in the GOP and where Ron Paul could be standing in New Hampshire

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If you break down the Republican vote in Iowa to show the percentage of voters  that were either Born-again or Evangelical,
this part of the pie comprised 56% of Voters in Iowa.

We know that with this percentage of voters to whom Religion is a very important factor, Huckabee took the prize.

It was broken down like this:

Huckabee 34%
Romney 25%
Thompson & McCain 13%
Paul 10%
Giuliani 3%
Hunter 0%

BUT

among NON Evangelical and Born-Again voters.....look how the numbers change.


In that case it would have been

Romney 33%
McCain 18%
Huckabee 14%
and OTHER 35%

WHO do you suppose "Other" was?


I would say that Giuliani would probably remain at 3% as he did not campaign as he could have in Iowa. OR maybe he would have gotten less than 3% because he is a Roman Catholic and the Religious factor might have put votes towards him so in that case he would lose votes. Hunter is a non-entity at this point with 0%. Thompson is also on the "other" part of this pie so this is truly Paul's competition at this point for the Non-Religious Vote.

I have a feeling Ron Paul might do VERY well in New Hampshire where the vote is not based on Religion so much as it is based on the Issues --especially those of Pro-Peace and Living Free.  Fred Thompson is NOT on the Pro-Peace and Living Free side of the issues. He is probably more competition to the McCain/Huckabee/Romney Pro-War Trio.  I'd say that Ron Paul's piece of the pie might be pretty big in New Hampshire!

 

Organizer of the Long Island Ron Paul Meet-up. Real Estate Agent and Substitute Teacher.

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That's good news.It's hard for me not to f... by Ingrid on Friday, Jan 4, 2008 at 9:26:32 AM
Paul has this neat ideological system called liber... by Bill Samuel on Friday, Jan 4, 2008 at 5:14:52 PM
Traditionally, churches took care of poor people, ... by Ingrid on Saturday, Jan 5, 2008 at 8:25:43 AM
Ron Paul supports freedom for all, whether you'... by Chip on Friday, Jan 4, 2008 at 7:27:31 PM
I agree with you.... by Ingrid on Saturday, Jan 5, 2008 at 8:27:48 AM