- That installing democracy would "be a long, difficult, and probably turbulent challenge" in Iraq.
- That Al Qaeda "would try to take advantage of US attention on postwar Iraq to reestablish its presence in Afghanistan."
- That Iraq "was a deeply divided society that likely would engage in violent conflict unless an occupying power prevented it."
- That the United States' occupation of Iraq "would result in a surge of political Islam and increased funding for terrorist groups."
- That Iraq's neighbors would jockey for influence in Iraq, "including fomenting strife among Iraq's ethnic and sectarian groups."
- That "some elements in the Iranian government could decide to try to counter aggressively the U.S. presence in Iraq or challenge U.S. goals."
- That our action in Iraq "would not cause other regional states to abandon their WMD programs, or their desire to develop such programs."
"The Intelligence Community believed an American invasion would be exploited by Iran and al Qaeda terrorists and that an occupation of Iraq would fuel Islamist extremism. They also assessed that al Qaeda would seek to re-establish its presence in Afghanistan while the United States was diverted in Iraq.... Sadly, the Administration's refusal to heed these dire warnings, and worse, to plan for them, has led to tragic consequences for which our nation is paying a terrible price. "The report shows that the Administration was not forthcoming with the American people about the potential costs of going to war."Of course, Senator Russ Feingold (D-WI), who has been one of the loudest critics of the Intelligence Committee's failure to perform any oversight in the previous Congress, said that the Bush administration not only ignored critical intelligence in pre-war planning, but also intentionally misled the American people, despite having solid facts refuting their claims. "The report released today by the Senate Intelligence Committee underscores that the Administration was indifferent to the predicted negative consequences of the war in Iraq," said the Wisconsin Senator, who is also on the Intelligence Committee. "The intelligence community's assessments, made prior to the war and widely disseminated within the Administration, also directly contradict many of the assertions made at the time by the Administration." And Reid said that this report, coupled with painful interactions he's recently had with parents of troops killed in Iraq, will make him continue to press for an end to the war, despite the thin majority held by Senate Democrats. "Our resolve has never been stronger," said the Majority Leader. " With a razor-thin majority -- and, remember, it is a razor-thin majority -- an obstinate President, and a Republican minority that continues to bow to his will, we are nonetheless making real progress." "When we take up the Defense authorization bill, we will not just work to correct the President's neglect of troop readiness and protection, we will give our Republican colleagues another opportunity to join us and bring a responsible end to this war. We will fight for that every day this year, as long as the President and a few allies left here in Congress continue to defy the reality the rest of us see clearly." You can read more from Bob at BobGeiger.com.