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Washington's Hegemonic Ambitions Are Not in Sync With Its Faltering Economy

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Headlined to H1 1/7/13

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Cross-posted from Paul Craig Roberts


In November the largest chunk of new jobs came from retail and wholesale trade. Businesses gearing up for Christmas sales added 65,700 jobs or 45% of November's 146,000 jobs gain. With December sales a disappointment, these jobs are likely to reverse when the January payroll jobs report comes out in February. Family Dollar Stores CEO Howard Levine told analysts that his company's customers were unable to afford toys this holiday season and focused instead on basic needs such as food. Levine said that his customers "clearly don't have as much for discretionary purchases as they once did."

For December's new jobs we return to the old standbys: health care and social assistance and waitresses and bartenders. These four classifications accounted for 93,000 of December's new jobs, 60% of the 155,000 jobs.

Obviously, the economy is not going anywhere except down. It takes approximately 150,000 new jobs each month to stay even with population growth and new entrants into the work force. Few of the jobs that are being created pay well, and the constant, consistent demand for more poorly paid waitresses, bartenders and hospital orderlies is difficult to believe. If Americans cannot afford toys for their kid's Christmas, how can they afford to eat and drink out?

Media spin seeks to create a recovery out of thin air, but these graphs from John Williams (shadowstats.com) show the reality:




Keep in mind that the 7.8% unemployment rate (U.3) that is headlined by the financial media does not include discouraged workers who have ceased to look for jobs. The government's U.6 rate includes workers who have been too discouraged to seek work for less than a year. This rate of unemployment is 14.4%, almost twice the U.3 rate that the media prefers to report.

In 1994 the US government defined out of existence unemployed Americans who have been discouraged from finding work for more than a year. John Williams estimates the long term discouraged workers. When his estimate is added to the U.6 measure, the US unemployment rate stands at 23%, three times the reported rate.

The rate of unemployment is so high because millions of US jobs have been offshored and given to Chinese, Indian, and other workers and because remaining businesses have been concentrated in few hands in violation of the anti-trust laws. (Go here to see the concentration of the media.)

We need to be concerned about a financial media and economics profession that believes a recovery is underway when the unemployment rate is so high and the real median income is so low. It is a mystery how any set of policymakers could possibly have believed that a country whose economy is driven by consumer expenditures can continue to expand when the jobs that produce the incomes that drive the economy are given to foreigners in foreign lands.

Essentially, Americans were told a packet of lies designed to win their gullible acceptance to an economy that produces high returns for Wall Street, shareholders, and corporate executives at the expense of everyone else in the country. The wage savings from the use of overseas labor means large rewards for the one percent and Family Dollar customers who cannot afford to buy toys for their children at Christmas.

 

http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/

Dr. Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury for Economic Policy in the Reagan Administration. He was associate editor and columnist with the Wall Street Journal, columnist for Business Week and the Scripps Howard News Service. He is a contributing editor to Gerald Celente's Trends Journal. He has had numerous university appointments. His book, The Failure of Laissez Faire Capitalism and Economic Dissolution of the West is available here. His latest book,  How America Was Lost, has just been released and can be ordered here.

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If we are spending 60 to 80 percent of our taxes t... by Steven G. Erickson on Monday, Jan 7, 2013 at 10:08:38 PM
Steven, I always read and appreciated your comment... by Janet Gaudiello on Wednesday, Jan 9, 2013 at 8:59:22 AM
We are all the new Native Americans. Those who are... by Steven G. Erickson on Wednesday, Jan 9, 2013 at 10:36:18 AM
Connecting our problem with job creation to the ab... by Cliff Arnebeck on Monday, Jan 7, 2013 at 10:24:49 PM
(Speaking of your title.)"In 1994 the US governmen... by Ad Du on Monday, Jan 7, 2013 at 11:10:45 PM
 Sir,  An instructor charged with a grad... by Ad Du on Monday, Jan 7, 2013 at 11:34:57 PM
I watch the classifieds  in engineering ... by Mark Sashine on Tuesday, Jan 8, 2013 at 3:02:07 PM
I can't understand what PCR was doing using the ph... by Alan MacDonald on Tuesday, Jan 8, 2013 at 3:20:54 PM
Ok - lets move past Empire to the Actual PERSONS b... by Poor old Dirt farmer on Tuesday, Jan 8, 2013 at 8:26:06 PM
The United States has lost more than 56,000 manufa... by Lance Ciepiela on Tuesday, Jan 8, 2013 at 6:20:43 PM
Goes to the top 1%.If that doesn't prove that we h... by Poor old Dirt farmer on Tuesday, Jan 8, 2013 at 8:30:09 PM
...insists on being fed and it does this by buying... by Amanda Lang on Tuesday, Jan 8, 2013 at 8:48:10 PM
Keep in mind that the 7.8% unemployment rate (U.3... by Michael Dewey on Wednesday, Jan 9, 2013 at 1:20:09 AM
Shadow stats has it as 23% or so.... by Adam Smith on Wednesday, Jan 9, 2013 at 11:24:03 AM
We here in America suffer from a TERMINAL DISEASE.... by Linda Laurin on Wednesday, Jan 9, 2013 at 11:54:45 AM