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Obama Team Blaming Jewish Vote for Loss of Weiner House Seat Dems Held for 88 Years

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note: title wording was changed from "the jews" to "Jewish vote"

It looks like Obama's political leadership team  is going to try to spin the loss of Anthony Weiner's  NY District 9 seat  on Tuesday as a local anomaly primarily due to a large Jewish population. 

Amazing, the different takes on the Democrats' loss of a District they'd held for almost a century (since the 1920s,) where the Democrats have a three to one registration advantage.  

Some publications say it's because the Republican winner, 70 year old Bob Turner made the election about Obama. 

Some publications, like the Washington Post,   add a bit more nuance and suggest that the reason was because of a local issue-- Obama's support of Israel returning to 1967 borders-- which is opposed by Orthodox Jews-- who compose a larger portion of this district than almost any other. 

Also, Weprin, when he was a representative in the New York State house, voted for gay marriage, another contentious issue. The Jewish week reported , that Weprin's vote for Gay Marriage "led some Flatbush Orthodox rabbis, in an unusually strident letter last week, to issue a prohibition not only against voting for Weprin but against donating time or money to his campaign."

Orthodox Jewish family in Brooklyn (flickr image  By Locace)

The Washington Post reports that DCCC chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz shrugged off the loss, attributing it to a unique local situation. The article reports,

She said that Orthodox Jews, whose approval rating of Obama stands at just 13 percent, were far outnumbered in other districts with large numbers of Jewish voters and that this result will not be replicated elsewhere. "There isn't any comparison between districts like mine and New York Nine," she said.

At Dailykos, sidnora reports  how Wiener's district was a very conservative Democratic district, that Weprin was a really bad candidate and Turner was a very effective candidate, in terms of ability to communicate and raise enthusiasm.  He gets ultra local, remarking,

Weprin was given the nomination by the Queens County Democratic party Chairman, Joe Crowley , because Crowley wanted to make sure that when the 9th gets disappeared in the upcoming redistricting, the "orphaned" incumbent wouldn't be strong enough to challenge any of the more established incumbents in the adjoining districts. That's no way to win a race you really want to win, and it should also provoke a discussion about how nominees for special elections are chosen in NYC. So, if you want to blame anyone for this loss, blame Joe Crowley. He outsmarted himself.

At his New York Times FiveThirtyEight blog, Nate Silver's article, For Democrats, It's 2010 All Over Again , adds another perspective. 

He discusses the issue of the PVI, which he explains, " One crude way to forecast the results you might expect to see out of a House race is through its Partisan Voting Index , or P.V.I., a measure of how the district voted relative to others in the past two presidential elections."

That shows that for the most part, Republicans have been picking up elections with percentages above and beyond what the Partisan Voting Index would have predicted. 

Here's my take. 

This should be a wake-up call to Obama supporters. President Barack Obama has now been shown to have reverse coat-tails, that his candidacy will make things worse for candidates. Look at Weiner's district. Even with a three to one advantage in registrations, the Democrat lost.  Obama will be what Stuart Rothenberg,  editor of the Rothenberg Political Report described as "an Albatross around Weprin's neck" around all Democratic candidates necks. They will win IN SPITE OF Obama, not with his help. 

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by those rabbis who disparaged the Democrat, an or... by John Sanchez Jr. on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 10:25:04 AM
Electing birds with two right wings will fail to f... by . . on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 11:10:02 AM
the best laugh I have had in a week. Five thumbs ... by John Reed on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 5:47:56 PM
doesn't inspire anyone to vote.I'm guessing that w... by larry payne on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 11:43:03 AM
I heard that only 22% of the electorate in the dis... by Hubert Steed on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 1:44:33 PM
"It's also interesting to note that wikipedia repo... by Frank Silbermann on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 11:49:16 AM
As an alumni of Kibbutz life from 30 years ago, I ... by manifesto 2000 on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 1:44:53 PM
After the devastation of the 2010 elections and no... by Dennis Kaiser on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 11:57:29 AM
if viable means one who would serve all the people... by larry payne on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 4:50:45 PM
 Jews are ACTUALLY responsible for some ... by Robert Jones on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 12:53:31 PM
The title of this article is irresponsible, Nowhe... by Timothy Franklin on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 1:42:07 PM
there is little to no enthusiasm by the electorate... by Michael Shaw on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 1:59:53 PM
You weren't the only one to call me on it, so I ch... by Rob Kall on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 2:12:42 PM
our mistakes and move on. We need to get behind th... by Linda Dapper on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 2:00:30 PM
She need only look at herself, pelosi and any othe... by Michael Gooch on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 2:28:48 PM
They won't.Obama is a Republican.  Weiner was... by Michael Collins on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 4:04:45 PM
... to have their heads handed to them.  And ... by AAA AAA on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 4:21:55 PM
Jeff, all the things you say are true, Obama was a... by Guitar Chris on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 9:12:46 PM
Totalitarians always blame the Jews.Surprised it t... by Miriam Callaghan on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 5:22:11 PM
Rob;I take issue with 3 points in this article:&nb... by Amy Fried, Ph.D. on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 7:23:08 PM
Only blacks vote Democratic in greater percentages... by Dana Pico on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 7:52:12 PM
Implicit in this line of reasoning is that voting ... by conrad elledge on Thursday, Sep 15, 2011 at 9:55:56 PM
It was Democrats who lost that seat all by themsel... by Paul Kruger on Friday, Sep 16, 2011 at 11:01:04 AM
That BHO has been ineffectual; and is proving to b... by Herbert Calhoun on Friday, Sep 16, 2011 at 4:15:22 PM