The plot has gone stale: a bad government, the saviors and
an ultimate invasion of sorts by US and her allies bringing down the "bad
government" to install a "good government". I would think by now, people would
be fed up of the wars sprung; Iraq War, the Libyan War, Afghan War, supporting
the "Egypt Spring" and now; the continued support of extremists operating
within and along Syria's borders.
Why the US and her allies feel so strongly about Assad using
chemical weapons is surprising considering it gave a hand to Saddam in gassing
Iran. It was also the US and Britain who sold Saddam Hussein the technology and
materials Iraq needed to develop nuclear, chemical and biological weapons of
mass destruction. US & UK cannot be so naà ¯ve to think the sale would have resulted
in production of children's' toy guns. Americans was apparently well aware that
Saddam Hussein had chemical weapons that he used against Iranian Army and also
against his own countrymen in the 1980s. Yet America did nothing to stop or
condemn.
Classified US Defence Department documents (also seen by the
Sunday Herald) show that Britain sold Iraq the drug pralidoxine, an antidote to
nerve gas, in March 1992, after the end of the Gulf war. Pralidoxine can be
reverse engineered to create nerve gas. (Report by Neil Mackay and Felicity
Arbuthnot: The Sunday Herald -- UK) Let us also not forget that cluster bombs
are banned by 83 countries. This has not stopped the U.S. military from selling
$640 million worth of American-made cluster bombs to one Middle-eastern country
alone. It is ironical for US to vehemently react to one country using chemical
weapons while selling it to another. The Cluster
Munition Coalition defines a cluster bomb as, "a weapon containing multiple
explosive submunitions. These containers are dropped from aircraft or fired
from the ground and designed to break open in mid-air, releasing the
submunitions and saturating an area that can be the size of several football
fields. Anybody within that area, be they military or civilian, is very likely
to be killed or seriously injured."
Let us not forget also the use of Agent Orange in the war against Vietnam where between 1961 to 1971
an estimated 400,000 people were killed or maimed, and 500,000 children born
with birth defects as a result of its use. Mark LeVine in his Op-Ed in
Al-Jazeera News (Published August 27, 2013) poses a thought provoking question;
can a government that supported the use of chemical weapons in one conflict
claim any moral, political or legal authority to militarily attack another
country for using the same weapons?
The questions that I pose are different; will the US target
the stockpile of chemical weapons in Syria? The answer is an obvious no. Will
the US attack ensure no future use of chemical weapons in Syria? The answer is
it cannot ensure this. Will the "limited attacks" as envisaged by Obama
continue to be limited attacks or will the scope of the war theater be enlarged
once started? The answer is: there can be no such certainty. So, what exactly is
the strategy that we are talking about here? What is America trying to achieve?
The atrocity of using chemical weapons notwithstanding, does
the answer to proposed Syrian attacks sans U.N sanction, lie in vested
interests? Is the act to be seen as an obsessive anti-Iran driven policy being
followed by the west? Many American strategists feel support to Syrian rebels
and a subsequent down fall of the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad
will result in a roll-back on the influence Iran yields with Syria and
inflicting a major causality upon Iran. Syria has been Iran's sole consistent
ally since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.
A Syrian government forces tank, outside Khaled bin Walid mosque in the Khalidiyah district of Syria's central city of Homs, on July 31, 2013. The Syrian government announced on July 29, the capture of Khaldiyeh, a key rebel district in Homs, Syria's third city and a symbol of the revolt against President Bashar al-Assad.
It is in American strategic interest; says Michael Rubin, not
to allow Iran to prevail in Syria. "The chief impediment to peace and stability
in the Middle East is Iran, and it's long past time the United States begins to
realize that there will be no breakthrough on any issue of concern to U.S.
national security until the Islamic Republic no longer exists. It should be the
policy of the United States to hasten that day." (Published 6/23/2013) A
friend, in a lengthy private mail commenting on the tense situation in Syria,
wrote, "The west has delayed Syrian "spring" long enough."
However, there are the religious-geographic dynamics that
cannot be overlooked. Hezbollah & Iran in hands with Alawites of Syria have
been aiming at reviving the Greater Iran, keeping in view their own schismatic
ideology, the effects of which reflect in the current proxy war in Pakistan.
The geographic link formed is Hezbollah on one end, Syria and Iraq forming the
center with Iran at the other end converging to solidify a unified religious school
of thought. Is the Middle East or South Asia ready for the revival of a Greater
Iran? Is the World ready for it?
In a recent development, President Barack Obama has decided to
seek congressional approval before taking military action against Bashar
Assad's regime. Is this a route to face saving as being claimed by some
political pundits or does Obama want Congress to walk the red line he created last year when he said Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad's use of chemical weapons would be a "red line" for
the United States? A red line that has boxed Obama in a corner.
There are many unexplored avenues through which the use of
chemical weapons in Syria can be effectively checked. First; allowing the UN to
conduct an inquiry and giving access to the site of an alleged nerve gas attack.
After initial support, Obama's government reversed its position. The
explanation given was that it was too late in the day to carry out the
investigation and get valid evidence of the alleged crime. Second; to open up space
for a diplomatic exchange with Syria where interests of US and its allies
overlap with those of Syria. The use of "lead from behind strategy" can be
instrumental in bringing Syria to the table. Third; to impose harsh economic
sanctions upon Syria. It may be difficult to make Russia and China bite, but I
am sure Obama can work his way around this. Fourth; to appoint observers
mutually agreed upon by both Syria and the UN to observe the situation and
ensure that such attacks are not repeated. Once fully satisfied; the sanctions may
be removed, staggering it in two or three tiers. Fifth; stop arming the rebels.
If a change has to come it must come from within, a change imposed from outside
is neither long lasting nor is it accepted by the local populace. Military
support to Syrian rebels was reluctantly given by Congress earlier this
year. White House spokesman Jay Carney,
in July 2013, talking to reporters; stated, "The aid is intended to help the
opposition resist Assad and eventually prevail."
I hope that US is not eager to repeat the same mistake it
made in Afghanistan; using diplomacy not to avoid war but to ensure its allies
support her with ammunition, soldiers and maybe logistics. Reverting only to
the military option is in fact, the failure of any foreign policy.
The
writer is a lawyer, academic and political analyst. She has authored a book, "A
Comparative Analysis of Media and Media Laws in Pakistan.' Her twitter handle is: @yameen_9
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