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October 18, 2007 at 09:47:41

Sleep-Walking Through History with Reaganomics

by Patricia L Johnson     Page 1 of 2 page(s)

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By Patricia L Johnson and Richard E Walrath

Republicans point to the back-to-back terms of President Ronald Reagan as a huge success for supply-side economics. Reagan received much applause from supply-siders because of his tax cuts for the rich, and big business, of course.

Yes, revenues did increase, but so did deficits – so much so that Reagan had to agree to tax increases in his second term The Tax Reform Act of 1986 – TRA86, PL 99-514.

Apparently Republicans are so anxious to shed a positive light on their party they seem to lose track of the facts on their path to glory.

The following excerpt from a WSJ article written by Stephen Moore is a prime example of Republican tunnel vision when it comes to supply-side economics.

Wall Street Journal

"In the 1980s, President Ronald Reagan chopped the highest personal income tax rate from the confiscatory 70% rate that he inherited when he entered office to 28% when he left office and the resulting economic burst caused federal tax receipts to almost precisely double: from $517 billion to $1,032 billion."

Ronald Reagan signed The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (PL 97-34) into law on August 13, 1981. PL97-34 contained 300 tax provisions and took three years to implement. Tax laws are extremely complex and simply stating the highest personal income tax rate was cut from 70% to 28%, without listing the lowest and highest tax bracket or tax base, is somewhat misleading.

Stating federal tax receipts almost doubled from $517 billion to $1,032 is not accurate. As you can determine by a review of the following chart, Stephen Moore is using the beginning tax receipt number from 1980 and the ending tax receipt number from 1990, a 10-year period. You cannot use 10-year tax data for an 8-year term of office.

What is disturbing about the Moore article is he isn't some rookie reporter out on his first assignment. His bio states, "Mr. Moore is a member of The Wall Street Journal's editorial board and author of "Bullish on Bush: How the Ownership Society Will Make America Richer (Madison Books, 2004)."

Was the use of the wrong revenue numbers simply an error, or was it an intentional ploy to make supply-side economics look good? Maybe a question to Mr. Moore should be is he a fan of supply-side economics because he believes it works, or is he a fan of supply-side economics because the tax cuts implemented by Reagan applied directly to his pocketbook?

The fact of the matter is "Reaganomics" was a dismal failure for the country. Yes, revenues did increase by $474.1 billion dollars during the Reagan 8-year term of office, but each and every year resulted in a budget deficit and by the end of his 8-year term Ronald Reagan had increased the federal debt by almost $1.7 trillion dollars – 3.5 times the amount the revenues increased.


1790 was the first year the United States faced a debt – the total was $75 million dollars, which has grown considerably to the $9 trillion federal debt currently owed. From 1790 until now, there have only been two years in our history when the U.S. did not carry a debt - 1834 and 1835.

During this 200 plus period of years, the federal debt saw a high of 108.6 percent of GDP at the end of WWII, followed by a low of 23.8 percent of GDP in 1974.

Historically, the national debt has risen in periods of war when the costs of war have generally been financed by borrowing rather than raising taxes. The entire Reagan presidency was during peacetime so there was not any war cost involved.

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Richard E Walrath and Patricia L Johnson are co-owners of the Articles and Answers News and Information sites.  Articles and Answers 2007 and Articles and Answers

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Undergraduate degree in political science and philosophy: summa cum laude, Phi Beta Kappa; with postgraduate work in political economics. Postgraduate degree is a juris doctorate. I am a voracious reader and, although I make no claim to expertise, have self studied in logic, linguistics, theology, theoretical physics, macroeconomics, technical and fundamental market analysis, world history, and many other subjects, which I believed at the time helped explain the world around me.

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W.M.L.Undergraduate degree in political science and philosophy: summa cum laude, Phi Beta Kappa; with postgraduate work in political economics. Postgraduate degree is a juris doctorate. I am a voracious reader and, although I make no claim to expertise, have self studied in logic, linguistics, theology, theoretical physics, macroeconomics, technical and fundamental market analysis, world history, and many other subjects, which I believed at the time helped explain the world around me.

...

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DOES ANYONE KNOW

if the nine trillion national debt figure Patricia Johnson uses includes debt the federal government essentially owes itself from borrowing from the social security and medicaid trusts that workers supposedly own?  I don't think it does.  If not, then the real national debt would be closer to about 22 trillion dollars, I think.  Not my area of expertise, but I seem to remember reading something like this a year or so back.  It was a piece by the head of one of the federal agencies  like Auditor General of the GAO who put the federal deficit at about $70,000 for every man, woman and child in America.  If someone knows the facts on this, please share.

by W.M.L. (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 322 comments) on Thursday, October 18, 2007 at 3:31:07 PM
 


57Yo m I'm a "been there, done that! Bought the tee shirt,to hide the scars!" type of person Ive worked�many jobs from�a chicken slaughterer to managing a branch of a multinational and many jobs in between.Raised in colonial PNG Left School 16,Grad Hi school 22 Night School, University 36� BBus (majored in Psyche and Marketing), Dip Comp prog and project Mmnt.at 50 I've been in 48 different community org ,23 on board with 18 prez or deputy prez.First social campaign at 17 for the aborigine...

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Andris57Yo m I'm a "been there, done that! Bought the tee shirt,to hide the scars!" type of person Ive worked�many jobs from�a chicken slaughterer to managing a branch of a multinational and many jobs in between.Raised in colonial PNG Left School 16,Grad Hi school 22 Night School, University 36� BBus (majored in Psyche and Marketing), Dip Comp prog and project Mmnt.at 50 I've been in 48 different community org ,23 on board with 18 prez or deputy prez.First social campaign at 17 for the aborigine...

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US govt borrowing from peter to pay paul

I remember  something along those lines on an expose on TV in Australia!

I remember it had to do with the US govt. borrowing on superannuation with IOUs . The story said something about unfunded liabilities that would kick in around 2020-25 when all the baby boomers retired.

Thaet's the best I can remember.Sorry

by Andris (4 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 531 comments) on Thursday, October 18, 2007 at 11:36:29 PM
 


Richard E Walrath and Patricia L Johnson are co-owners of the Articles and Answers News and Information sites.  Articles and Answers 2007 and
Articles and Answers

Patricia L JohnsonRichard E Walrath and Patricia L Johnson are co-owners of the Articles and Answers News and Information sites.  Articles and Answers 2007 and
Articles and Answers

Does Anyone Know

Sorry, I didn’t respond to your question sooner, but for some reason I’m no longer receiving notification when a comment is posted J   

In answer to your question, yes, Social Security Trust Funds are included in the $9 billion indicated in the joint article.  The $9 billion consists of two parts, $5 billion in Debt Held by Public and $4 billion in Intragovernmental Holdings.  Social Security Trust Funds are included in the Intragovernmental Holdings. 

As of right there is a surplus, which is declining, but the surplus in the accounts will not be depleted until the following years:

 

The surplus in OASI is depleted in 2042, DI surplus is depleted in 2026 and OASDI surplus is depleted in 2041.

 

Source: Social Security Administration, The 2007 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and

Disability Insurance Trust Funds (Washington, DC: April 2007).

 

Thank you for your excellent question.

 

Pat Johnson

by Patricia L Johnson (24 articles, 0 quicklinks, 4 diaries, 32 comments) on Friday, October 19, 2007 at 4:23:02 PM
 

 

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