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April 23, 2008 at 10:03:34

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Clinton won Pennsylvania, Obama won the Democratic Nomination

by John Martin     Page 1 of 2 page(s)

www.opednews.com

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Hillary Clinton needed a BIG win; something along the lines of a landslide to have any realistic chance of getting the Democratic Nomination.

It did not happen.

Put aside all of the spin and the public relations victory she may have won with last night’s Pennsylvania primary. The cold, hard truth rests in the numbers. And all of the numbers belong to Barack Obama.

Going into the Pennsylvania contest, team Clinton knew that they had little chance of winning the pledged delegate count (delegates chosen by voters). They knew that Obama had already won the most states. So, what they wanted to do was attempt an enormous win that would propel them to victory in the popular vote.

They failed. And Pennsylvania was their last chance to catch up.

Numbers don’t spin. Numbers don’t lie: Hillary Clinton ended the month of March in debt. Barack Obama, thanks to a grassroots funding apparatus bankrolled by thousands of small donations from ordinary Americans, ended March with over 40 million dollars in the bank.

She needs money…..fast!!!. How many people are willing to donate money to a candidate that has no chance to win during a recession?

Numbers don’t spin. Numbers don’t lie: The remaining states to be contested do not offer Clinton the opportunity to significantly gain on Obama in any way. Clinton simply lost too many states earlier in the year to be competitive.

Here are the remaining states in play:

• Guam (May 3rd)
• Indiana (May 6th)
• North Carolina (May 6th)
• West Virginia (May 13th)
• Kentucky (May 20th)
• Oregon (May 20th)
• Montana (June 3rd)
• South Dakota (June 3rd)
• Puerto Rico (June 7th)

Clinton, who prides herself in her ability to win BIG states (while often not campaigning and even ignoring smaller states), ironically does not have the population base from these “smaller” states to overcome her earlier defeats. To make things more difficult, polling shows that she is 20 points behind Obama in North Carolina and 5 points behind in Indiana (which borders Obama’s home state of Illinois).

Clinton has lost any claim to the popular vote argument. It belongs to Obama. And his margin of victory will get larger.

As she awakes this morning, she realizes that her victory in Pennsylvania was not sufficient enough to change anything. When she opens the newspaper, she sees that another superdelegate, Oklahoma Governor Brad Henry, has endorsed Barack Obama today.

From the Governor of very conservative Oklahoma: “Senator Obama is uniquely positioned to unite our nation and move beyond the divisiveness and partisan skirmishes that too often characterize politics as usual in Washington." 

As she flips further through the paper, she sees a scathing rebuke of her candidacy from the New York Times, the same hometown paper that endorsed her candidacy in January: "The Pennsylvania campaign, which produced yet another inconclusive result on Tuesday, was even meaner, more vacuous, more desperate, and more filled with pandering than the mean, vacuous, desperate, pander-filled contests that preceded it."

"Voters are getting tired of it; it is demeaning the political process; and it does not work. It is past time for Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton to acknowledge that the negativity, for which she is mostly responsible, does nothing but harm to her, her opponent, her party and the 2008 election."

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7 comments


Hillary the Hun

her tactics are deplorable, her lies and embellishments disgusting..her elitist behavior.."only big states really count" (she lost Texas...don't hear much about that, do we) her willingness to wallow in the mud when every one knows the skeletons that rattle around in her closet..is McCain or Hillary the best this country can do..she is like a zombie..cut her head off and she will still crawl after you

by Susan Nelsen (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 287 comments) on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2008 at 12:25:23 PM

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Reply: Well Susan

although every state counts, whomever carries the big states usually wins the election. The bulk of our population can be found in these big states. So can the bulk of the problems most of the people in this country now face. The big states have been the hardest hit states economically. The most job losses come from those states. People are generally forced to pay higher taxes in the larger states, the cost of living in the larger states is higher too and the poverty levels in the larger states by far overshadow those in the small states. So why is it (and allbeit those races were close) that the elitist Hillary is winning the larger states? Are most of the people in those states all idiots? Or do they see her chances of winning in the fall better than Barrack's? Did they get the message wrong? Or did a few negative articles about Reverend Wright do the job? Do they listen to FOX News more than people in the smaller states do? Whatever the reasons, be they a combination or none of the above, Obama has been unable to carry even one big state. That means plenty!

by Michael Shaw (12 articles, 1 quicklinks, 1 diaries, 439 comments [16 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2008 at 2:13:05 PM

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Reply: As for Texas...

Obama did carry the most caucus delegates according to Texas election rules but Clinton won the primary, the popular vote by 4%. So if numbers don't lie at least the majority of the people in that state voted for Clinton even if their  caucus delegates did not. To me this is not a clear victory for either candidate. In fact it is the most confusing situation I have ever seen in an election primary.

by Michael Shaw (12 articles, 1 quicklinks, 1 diaries, 439 comments [16 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2008 at 2:49:14 PM

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Numbers sometimes do lie

And sometimes they mean nothing even when they should. That said and although you are correct in the "Obama still has the numbers" message, landslide or not Obama has failed to win even one key state in this election and that will say a lot to the super delegates at the convention. Especially when considering Obama out spent Hillary 3-1 in Pennsylvania and still lost. Also she now has the momentum moving into the last three primaries.

Frankly I was hoping for an Obama win in Pennsylvania. I wanted to see him carry a big state. He didn't. What does this all mean? Well it could mean nothing. The important news I think comes in the form of voter turnout. The democrats are going out in droves and that usually means good news for democrats in the general election.

But lets not forget this last primary meant a lot to both candidates. It is now not a do or die situation for Clinton. It is a neck in neck race all the way to the finish. May the best man or woman win.

by Michael Shaw (12 articles, 1 quicklinks, 1 diaries, 439 comments [16 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2008 at 1:46:24 PM

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"Obama wins nomination" I wouldnt be so sure,

Hillary still has the republican machine behind her, and Diebold. I predicted months ago,and caught a lot of flack for it, that Obama would be allowed to lead, to give the process a semblance of legitimacy, and Hillary would have the final states flipped in her favor by the Bush mafia machine.  I will not at this time say I told you so, that will wait until the sham primary is over.

by john riggs (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 463 comments [24 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2008 at 2:20:23 PM

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Reply: Interesting analysis concerning the results....

in the Diebold count vs the hand count, especially in NH. Perhaps you're right, maybe the republicans do wish Hillary would win. One aspect in Pennsylvania comes to mind. Those independents and republicans who went out in droves to re-register as democrats seemed to be supporting Clinton over Obama. Yet overall it seems independents everywhere else supported Obama. Another point is that in Pennsylvania 51 counties use paperless electronic voting machines and you need a legitimate excuse to vote absentee. I don't like the sound of that!

We certainly do know that Diebold did plenty for George W. Bush, it's CEO being one of Georgie boy's frat brothers. The fact they are still allowed in the election process(name change or not) is a travesty. Sadly since there is no paper trail all we can do at this point is be speculative. We'll never know the true results.

Most of the red states seem content with Diebold and other electronic vote counting companies. Either that or they can't afford to make a transition or their elected reps won't bother to make one. Indeed these machines are a true threat to democracy. Perhaps the greatest threat. Many blue states like California have been making the right moves. But it seems obvious this too little too late. It sure was concerning the primary and we will face it again in the general elections.

Another aspect of course are earmarks. Clinton received more earmarks in her state by defense contractors than did Obama. Still they both received them. So in the end what does this all mean? These earmark wars hurt both democratic candidates. Meanwhile McCain, who has been asking for more earmark transparency on a bill he knew would never pass, comes out of this looking squeaky clean. He has the most backing by defense contractors too!

I have often wondered if there is even a point. A system in voting we know to be open to easy fraud, a system we know can be manipulated so readily, a system that has been proven over and over to be flawed seems to be the hardest thing on earth to get rid of. They can spend millions of our tax dollars on these machines at the drop of a dime, but they can't spend money on written paper ballots? Seems absurd to me!

by Michael Shaw (12 articles, 1 quicklinks, 1 diaries, 439 comments [16 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2008 at 3:53:29 PM

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CNN is so F*CKING LIAR, saying Obama is elitist

CNN is so F*CKING LIAR, a news anchor wh0re from CNN said that Obama's speech is "elitist", and that's why he is losing, because Hillary is more pro-workers, damn how can CNN lie to people like that. The Clintons are no pro-poor at all, they slashed welfare social programs, they are anti-food stamps and anti-welfare. how could CNN lie to people like that

by LincolnMarx (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 86 comments [3 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2008 at 10:08:52 PM

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