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March 20, 2008 at 10:50:52

Promoted to column top on 3/20/08:
Jobs, the Dollar, the Fed and the Next Great Depression

by Jeanne Roberts     Page 1 of 1 page(s)

www.opednews.com

 
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The government recently reported that January job losses topped 17,000 – the first monthly decline since August, 2003. The report was widely cited, but the figure is insignificant, representing only about .001 percent of U.S. jobs. Of greater importance is chronic unemployment, which Congress calls the most useful indication of recession. As of Jan. 2008, 18.3 percent of jobless workers had been out of work for six months or more, compared to 16.2 percent the previous year. Persistent joblessness is higher now than in March of 2002, when Congress first extended unemployment benefits to address the problem. In the last four decades, wages have also declined. In 1960, a working man could support a family. By 1980, he had to ask his wife to work to achieve that goal. During the last seven years under Bush, household debt has doubled, and manufacturing jobs have fallen below 1945 levels. The national debt has risen 300 percent. According to Paul Craig Roberts, former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy, this is the profile of a third world economy. Recent scandals and failures (Countrywide Bank, the Carlyle Group, Bear Stearns and possibly Lehman Bros.) tied to subprime mortgages and poor fiscal management point to an economy on the brink of total meltdown.

As we enter the next Great Depression, various writers have begun to assign blame. One cites free trade, beloved of economists but the bane of American workers. Economists (using Joseph Schumpeter's theory) view free trade as a leveler, removing unproductive jobs in backward industries and replacing them with better paying alternatives. Economists don't work in customer service, manufacturing or IT, which have jointly lost 2.3 million jobs since 2001 (McKinsey Consulting). This trend is accelerating, and economist Alan Blinder estimates that eventually as many as 30 percent of jobs may be outsourced to India and other cheap-labor countries. Even economists are beginning to realize that the gains from free trade go to those at the top of the economic food chain, and the "trickle-down effect" (or Reaganomics) seldom reaches workers at the bottom. The upside of this gloomy economic picture is that companies are running lean. Unfortunately, this is also the downside; there is no place for the unemployed to go.



Market forces, and the balance of trade, determine the value of the dollar. I will cite from a 2003 report by the Peterson Institute: "Two complementary steps are needed to complete the essential correction of the dollar…First, the trade-weighted average exchange rate of the dollar needs to fall by another 10-15 percent to restore a sustainable external position for the United States. Second, this upcoming "second wave" of decline should occur against a broader group of currencies and with greater corresponding appreciations in East Asia (i.e., not against the Euro)".

According to the Federal Reserve Bank, a strong dollar creates lower prices on foreign goods, but also makes it harder for U.S. firms to compete in foreign markets (or for foreigners to invest in U.S. firms). A weak dollar makes it easier for U.S. firms to sell abroad and invites foreign investing. Unfortunately, consumers face higher prices because foreign goods become more expensive. If the Peterson Institute protocol is achieved, economically stressed American consumers will be put further in the hole by greatly inflated energy and food prices, and the even more recently announced 12-percent inflation rate in China, which ups the cost of Chinese goods.

Between 2000 and 2007, the dollar lost 30 percent of its purchasing power. Some fringe economists have accused the Federal Reserve of operating the U.S. like a banana republic, running up huge overseas debt, selling capital assets to foreign interests and printing money by the truckload. One commentator calls the dollar a "Bernanke peso", another accuses the U.S. of subscribing to "Zimbabwe economic theory". China has about $120 billion in U.S. debt, and Latin American countries have begun selling off their dollar reserves after years of bolstering our economy.

The system of Federal Reserve Banks, or the Fed, is not a government agency. It is a fiscal management organization (some call it a cartel of bankers) mandated by Congress in 1914. At its inception, J. P. Morgan Co. and Kuhn, Loeb & Co., reportedly bought stock in the Fed on behalf of the Rothschild's and the Bank of England, and had their principal officers appointed to the Fed in various advisory capacities. The trend has persisted. Goldman Sachs entered the Fed arena later (former Goldman employees currently head the New York Stock Exchange, the World Bank, the U.S. Treasury Department and Treasury in the person of Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr.). One observer credits Goldman (acting in concert with the Fed) with repeal of the Public Utility Holding Company Act (PUHCA) in 2005, saying Goldman's current energy windfall profits are a result. Kevin Warsh, a current chairman of the Fed, was once director of mergers and acquisitions at J. P. Morgan (Greenspan worked there, too). Donald Kohn, vice-chairman, is also current chair of the Committee on the Global Financial System (GFS), an international money and banking system whose key players include the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS, of which ex-chairman Greenspan was also chair from 1994 to the end of his Fed term). The BIS is comprised of financial institutions acting in the global arena. Hedge funds are part of this global operation, and have recently experienced a trading surge, sparking rumors that the Fed is short-selling. Three of the five Fed members have served as Bush advisors. Conspiracy theories are bound to propagate when the rich and powerful also hold the purse strings of the American economy.

Federal Reserve banks are privately owned corporations (Lewis vs. US, case #80-5905, 9th Circuit, June 24, 1982). As such, they are not required by the Securities and Exchange Commission to publish a list of major shareholders. Federal Reserve notes are not backed by gold, but by the assets of the Federal Reserve, namely the power of Congress to tax people. Gold represents a meager one-tenth of Fed notes. The 1914 act effectively transferred the power to coin and issue money from the government to the Federal Reserve. No Federal Reserve Bank has ever been audited. The banks are reportedly owned by: the Rothschild Bank of London; the Warburg Bank of Hamburg; the Rothschild Bank of Berlin; Lehman Brothers of New York; Lazard Brothers of Paris; the Kuhn Loeb Bank of New York; the Israel Moses Seif Banks of Italy; Goldman, Sachs of New York; Warburg Bank of Amsterdam; and the Chase Manhattan Bank of New York. In 1992, taxpayers paid the Fed banking system $286 billion in interest on national debt created by Fed policies; debt which the Fed purchased by printing money. Forty percent of all income tax goes to pay this interest, but the actual debt that can never be repaid. In fact, the Fed is rather like a high-interest credit card, and America has been behind on its payments almost since inception.

The First Great Depression was also a series of events put in motion by the Federal Reserve. In 1925, according to Ron Chernow's book, "The House of Morgan", Ben Strong, then chairman of the Fed, made a secret commitment to the governor of the Bank of England to help England reinstate the Gold Standard. With moral support from the U.S. Treasury, Strong raised the value of the British pound by depressing U.S. interest rates. The economy, already strong, soared. With investment margins at 10 percent, investors began borrowing heavily to invest in the stock market.

Strong died in Oct. 1928. His successor, George.Harrison, raised rates to cool the fever, but too late. Almost one year later, on October 28, 1929 the Dow fell 20 percent. It continued to fall, bottoming out 40 percent below its peak in two months. The Fed dumped money into the system, creating temporary recovery, but the Dow finally hit bottom at 41.22 on July 8, 1932, 10 percent of its peak three years earlier. In what the Feds called their "austerity" program, banks were not given more money, and between 1930 and 1933 a cascade failure ensued. The money supply fell 27% from 1929 to 1933. In that same period, tax revenues also fell, leaving a 900-million gap in the budget. The Revenue Act of 1932 was expected to raise $1.1 billion in new revenue from steeper income tax rates and lower exemptions, and it did, on the backs of impoverished Americans.

As soon as banks start failing again, the Fed will further consolidate its position as the only game in town by stepping back and again demanding austerity. The Fed is, traditionally, a lender of last resort. This means that when a bank is in trouble and cannot meet its depositors’ demands for cash, the Federal Reserve must provide the liquidity by buying the loans (or bonds from the banks' investment portfolio). The Federal Reserve was derelict in this responsibility during the banking crises that culminated in the Great Depression, and it will be derelict again, because consolidating power in the hands of the few is the real international monetary policy.

Ron Paul, the most vocal opponent of the Fed, says "The Fed has followed a consistent policy of flooding the economy with easy money, leading to a misallocation of resources and an artificial "boom" followed by a recession or depression when the Fed-created bubble bursts".

We don't need conspiracy theories (i.e., the Fed is short-selling the market, is involved with Enron and the Carlyle Group to bring America to its knees, bribed Democrats in S. Florida to stop a ballot count in the last election, etc.). We have the facts, and the Fed is a failure. Considering its international alliances, no one should be surprised. As Thomas Jefferson, founding father of our country, pointed out: "A merchant has no country."

If you think the Fed can, or will, act to save the American economy, read the New York Times article. Also consider the fact that the Fed has traditionally used financial failures to consolidate its shadow position as controller of the American economy. No doubt it is licking its proverbial lips as first one, and then many, financial institutions slide down the slippery slope to the North American Union, the Amero, and the New World Order.

 

I'm a freelance writer, a former reporter, the mother of four amazingly compassionate and intelligent human beings but otherwise poor as the proverbial church mouse. I write about the important stuff: environment, corporate fraud, government negligence and corruption - you name it (if it makes you mad, I've probably covered it). I just finished a book on environmental initiatives for homeowners, Greening Your Home, and write for several online sites. I'm considered an environmentalist (or maybe just a left-wing nut job), but my real concern is sustainability. We all have to live on the planet together - people, birds, buffalo, flowers and zooplankton. Saving spotted owls only to dispossess people doesn't float my boat. Surely, with our technology, experience and understanding of natural systems, we can create a world where owls and loggers both get critical habitat. "Life is a journey. Don't get lost following someone else's footprints".

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8 comments

I am a musician, homeschool mother of three, and Ron Paul supporter.
wgadgetI am a musician, homeschool mother of three, and Ron Paul supporter.

Hey

There's a guy on a financial radio station (Phil Grandy?) who insists that Mr. Paulson of Goldman Sachs will let the dollar rise and then pull the rug out from under commodities owners, specifically gold owners who have bought it in hopes of making money. Apparently, Mr. Paulson is the one with the key to the magic "solution" to our economic problems.

I myself recently purchased gold, but with the intention of keeping it as a longterm hedge against inflation. IMO, the Fed has backed itself into a corner, but who's to say they can't change the rules any time they see fit.

by wgadget (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 15 comments) on Thursday, March 20, 2008 at 3:02:28 PM
 


I'm a freelance writer, a former reporter, the mother of four amazingly compassionate and intelligent human beings but otherwise poor as the proverbial church mouse. I write about the important stuff: environment, corporate fraud, government negligence and corruption - you name it (if it makes you mad, I've probably covered it). I just finished a book on environmental initiatives for homeowners, Greening Your Home, and write for several online sites.
I'm considered an environmentalist...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Jeanne RobertsI'm a freelance writer, a former reporter, the mother of four amazingly compassionate and intelligent human beings but otherwise poor as the proverbial church mouse. I write about the important stuff: environment, corporate fraud, government negligence and corruption - you name it (if it makes you mad, I've probably covered it). I just finished a book on environmental initiatives for homeowners, Greening Your Home, and write for several online sites.
I'm considered an environmentalist...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Hey yourself, but Grandy (?) has it right

Paulson, who supports the Bear Stearns bailout, will likely "massage" the commodities metals markets once gold hits and stays at about $1,000; the best way to achieve this would be flooding the market from the coffers of the Fed banks and taking a short position (?). This will bring the price down and deflate the expectations of millions of Americans who invested in it as a hedge against the falling dollar. Grandy(?) is right about that. Of course, it will be Paulson's "shadow arm" doing the massaging. Know what I mean? Unfortunately, I'm not a commodities expert, so I can't foresee all the gory details, and I could be wrong. 

by Jeanne Roberts (3 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 21 comments) on Thursday, March 20, 2008 at 4:13:34 PM
 


Mother of 7, grandmother of 21, great grandmother of 41 and great-great grandmother of 2 and loving every minute of it. I want a better world for us all than the mess we have now.
RaeMother of 7, grandmother of 21, great grandmother of 41 and great-great grandmother of 2 and loving every minute of it. I want a better world for us all than the mess we have now.

Federal Reserve

Great article. Everyone should print it.

To further find out how 7 people in 1910 holed up in secrecy on Jekyll Island for 10 days and made the plans for what eventually would become the Federal Reserve go to:

  http://www.apfn.org/apfn/reserve.htm

From it's inception it was unconstitutional. It should be a must read for all High School students along with all adults accompanied with Jeanne Roberts article which brings us to the present. The link above clearly explains why & how our economy was and is manipulated for the benefit of the elite. To see the future (rather lack of) view the DVD "ENDGAME" filmed by Alex Jones and see what their plans for us are. Hear it from the elites own words. It must not happen.

As long as they remain with such power we are not and will not be free of the tyranny they exert. The only way to stop it is a coming together of the people in a common cause...our freedom from manipulation. Knowledge is Power but it takes collective courage, a uniting, to bring about change. So far keeping the people divided by those in power has been successful. We need to change that.

A good way to begin is to arm ourselves with knowledge and reality and inform and educate others. A grass roots groundswell has brought changes before and there is no reason we can't do it again.

 



 

by Rae (0 articles, 1 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 219 comments) on Thursday, March 20, 2008 at 8:21:29 PM
 


I'm a freelance writer, a former reporter, the mother of four amazingly compassionate and intelligent human beings but otherwise poor as the proverbial church mouse. I write about the important stuff: environment, corporate fraud, government negligence and corruption - you name it (if it makes you mad, I've probably covered it). I just finished a book on environmental initiatives for homeowners, Greening Your Home, and write for several online sites.
I'm considered an environmentalist...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Jeanne RobertsI'm a freelance writer, a former reporter, the mother of four amazingly compassionate and intelligent human beings but otherwise poor as the proverbial church mouse. I write about the important stuff: environment, corporate fraud, government negligence and corruption - you name it (if it makes you mad, I've probably covered it). I just finished a book on environmental initiatives for homeowners, Greening Your Home, and write for several online sites.
I'm considered an environmentalist...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Thanks, Rae!

Wow! I wish I'd had this link when I started my research. I did see the Alex Jones film; that's what tipped me to writing this. You're right, nobody in the establishment will touch this sort of stuff - I had five online publishers reject my article on various grounds (too long, too complicated, boring, not relevant, etc.). OpEd was the only one who accepted it. You rule, OpEd! And so do you, Rae! It's a good life, if you don't weaken.

Now how do we wake up the rest of America before it goes down, like sheep to the slaughter? Ideas, anyone?

by Jeanne Roberts (3 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 21 comments) on Friday, March 21, 2008 at 8:57:06 AM
 


I am concerned about bring peace and prosperity to everyone in the world. I am concerned that people with too much power and wealth tend to be oppressive toward those who do not. I think the best policy is a balanced one. Balance comes when opportunity and motivation meet compassion.
im4unityI am concerned about bring peace and prosperity to everyone in the world. I am concerned that people with too much power and wealth tend to be oppressive toward those who do not. I think the best policy is a balanced one. Balance comes when opportunity and motivation meet compassion.

WHO REALLY OWNS, AND RUNS AMERICA?

I have thought about our "banking/printing worthless money/loaning it to us" system for a long time....wondering what, if anything can be done. The simple truth is this: Until we kick the Fed out, refuse to pay them what we don't really owe them anyway, and set up our own public American Monetary System (based on a gold standard) we have no chance of financial survival. Who the hell is the Fed anyway that, when we need money, THEY print it, loan it to us with interest and sit back and get richer? A monetary system MUST be owned and operated by the duly elected government of the country! This whole Fed banking thing is tied in with the full corporate ownership of the U.S. Let's face it folks: With the banks, corporations, government, media and military all tied in together, what chance do working men and women have in America?  NONE!!!  In the U.S. it will always be about shifting wealth upward, while keeping the rest of us working, struggling and fighting their stupid power-and-wealth-driven wars.  What a ridiculous system, don't you think?  We need to admit just how uninformed, and easily swayed, we are.  But instead, we'd rather fight it other, and call each other names, over some presidential election that doesn't mean anything anyway - our elected officials are not in charge!!!

by im4unity (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 44 comments) on Tuesday, March 25, 2008 at 6:21:49 PM
 


I'm a freelance writer, a former reporter, the mother of four amazingly compassionate and intelligent human beings but otherwise poor as the proverbial church mouse. I write about the important stuff: environment, corporate fraud, government negligence and corruption - you name it (if it makes you mad, I've probably covered it). I just finished a book on environmental initiatives for homeowners, Greening Your Home, and write for several online sites.
I'm considered an environmentalist...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Jeanne RobertsI'm a freelance writer, a former reporter, the mother of four amazingly compassionate and intelligent human beings but otherwise poor as the proverbial church mouse. I write about the important stuff: environment, corporate fraud, government negligence and corruption - you name it (if it makes you mad, I've probably covered it). I just finished a book on environmental initiatives for homeowners, Greening Your Home, and write for several online sites.
I'm considered an environmentalist...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Who really owns, and runs America?

You are right on the money! Now, if we could get even 50 percent of the people to understand how they are being used and manipulated. Because this is what the "shadow" people (the shadowy figures behind our "real" shadow government) fear; their exposure will lead to their downfall.

by Jeanne Roberts (3 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 21 comments) on Wednesday, March 26, 2008 at 7:33:37 AM
 

 

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